TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e52…0693

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$61.2
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$28.53
Will the Vancouver Canucks make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.4%+$41.39
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+32%+$53.27
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+74.3%+$81.93
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+236.8%+$68.67
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Rangers vs. Utahbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Kraken vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$11.08
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$28.17
Canadiens vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41.69
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid+25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.81
Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.73
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.8
Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.5
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.48
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$68.5
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+500.5%+$85.09
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+376.2%+$79
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$111.7
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+900%+$180
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40.3
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+200.2%+$91.69
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$121.21
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.8
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+122.2%+$44
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+179.1%+$31.17
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+156.4%+$24.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+103%+$20.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+261%+$78.3
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$74.45
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.6
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+156.4%+$23.46
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$29.4
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+80.8%+$32.33
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+122.2%+$48.89
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$41
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.9%+$80.19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+156.4%+$18.3
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Vietnam (BO1)backed Vietnam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+149.6%+$74.81
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+103.1%+$76.58
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+176.7%+$35.33
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+226.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.61
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.6%+$19.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
George Mason Patriots vs. George Washington Revolutionariesbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.