Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd0bd28d992dcaa7897f840e37b623f8d4726ce4f4eab35fb0c67a529fc64cf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $622,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $631,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $622,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 46c | 446,530$205,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205,220.86 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 54c | 198,801$107,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,448.5 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 54c | 77,218$41,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,520.16 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 56,683$29,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,882.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 39,799$21,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,288.54 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 54c | 29,847$16,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,729.43 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 25,743$14,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,560.18 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.97 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 15,313$8,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,987.53 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.97 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 54c | 6,964$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.82 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 56c | 5,600$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.94 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 42c | 5,191$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.39 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 40c | 5,005$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.38 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.99 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…582dbacked Over | 42c | 3,800$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…fb61backed Over | 42c | 3,643$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…eb84backed Under | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…e794backed Under | 63c | 3,303$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 36c | 2,930$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.53 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 39c | 2,658$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.33 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 43c | 2,324$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.47 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 55c | 2,202$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Over | 44c | 2,171$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.34 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 44c | 1,648$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 40c | 1,574$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.78 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 50c | 875.95$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.99 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 44c | 854.15$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.59 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 54c | 852.58$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.09 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 77c | 850$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.5 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 43c | 848$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.16 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 44c | 809.7$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 44c | 788.6$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.87 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 66c | 770.07$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.79 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb713…9126backed Under | 55c | 750$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 69c | 714.49$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 44c | 655$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.2 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 54c | 640$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 44c | 568.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.28 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 41c | 423.12$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 60c | 416.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed Under | 68c | 413.67$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 45c | 410$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.03 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…3eb8backed Under | 60c | 348.95$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…ef72backed Under | 61c | 345.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Over | 44c | 345.45$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…34ebbacked Over | 41c | 345.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc24…ee4cbacked Under | 60c | 345.12$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…aa72backed Under | 60c | 345.02$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb01…b2d6backed Over | 41c | 344.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…2dc7backed Under | 60c | 344.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5655…0ed5backed Under | 61c | 344$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…ac20backed Over | 41c | 343.81$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…8774backed Over | 41c | 343.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…b8cebacked Over | 41c | 334$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…8c1dbacked Over | 41c | 328.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Under | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 43c | 298.86$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.16 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Under | 60c | 282.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 277.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.79 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 271$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Over | 41c | 267$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 30c | 263.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.19 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 34c | 261.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Over | 44c | 237.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 46c | 230.28$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 54c | 210$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 43c | 200.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 199.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 31c | 192.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 64c | 156.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 42c | 152.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 42c | 140.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 43c | 130.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Over | 68c | 123.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.