Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12b0ee8e8e70244684e487dd5188ea5a62d1c2b40b680524404c09d85eecb938

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Manchester City FCof Manchester City FC, Fulham FC
Resolved: Feb 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $200,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $232,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,248 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9158…fa7bbacked Fulham FC	53c	59,398$31,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,481.08	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Manchester City FC	55c	21,856$12,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,805.56	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Manchester City FC	47c	19,149$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,148.94	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Manchester City FC	49c	15,000$7,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,650	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Fulham FC	52c	15,000$7,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,800	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Fulham FC	51c	12,527$6,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,394.84	192	53.1%102 W · 90 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Manchester City FC	47c	12,314$5,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,526.42	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Fulham FC	53c	10,340$5,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,488.55	205	45.4%93 W · 112 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Manchester City FC	48c	8,252$3,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,290.89	189	50.3%95 W · 94 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Manchester City FC	48c	6,212$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,212.26	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-6.2wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Manchester City FC	47c	6,100$2,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,233	109	62.4%68 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Manchester City FC	47c	6,000$2,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,180	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Fulham FC	53c	5,886$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,119.53	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6007…cf7ebacked Manchester City FC	47c	4,020$1,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,130.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…a770backed Fulham FC	53c	3,970$2,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,104.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Fulham FC	52c	3,801$1,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,975.37	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Fulham FC	53c	3,235$1,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,718.64	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Manchester City FC	47c	3,160$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,660	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Manchester City FC	48c	3,100$1,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,612	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Fulham FC	51c	2,941$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.99	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Fulham FC	54c	2,741$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Manchester City FC	46c	2,106$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,136.99	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a3…8278backed Manchester City FC	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.82	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City FC	47c	2,000$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,059.99	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Manchester City FC	47c	1,825$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$964.56	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Fulham FC	52c	1,632$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$847.59	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Fulham FC	52c	1,549$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.16	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Manchester City FC	48c	1,090$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.58	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Manchester City FC	50c	1,021$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.91	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Manchester City FC	48c	922.92$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.92	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Fulham FC	6c	850$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	71	31%22 W · 49 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Manchester City FC	48c	833.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.33	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Manchester City FC	48c	824.83$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.83	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Manchester City FC	49c	824.29$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.29	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Manchester City FC	49c	816.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.33	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Manchester City FC	46c	799.99$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Fulham FC	52c	700$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Manchester City FC	48c	623.11$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.11	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	52cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…1162backed Manchester City FC	47c	553.19$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.19	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Manchester City FC	48c	531$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.63	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Manchester City FC	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	127	46.5%59 W · 68 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Manchester City FC	46c	500$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Manchester City FC	47c	499.98$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.99	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Manchester City FC	47c	430$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.9	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Manchester City FC	48c	400$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Manchester City FC	44c	341.22$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.22	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Fulham FC	52c	337.23$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.36	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Manchester City FC	57c	302.8$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.64	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Fulham FC	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	293	43.7%128 W · 165 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Fulham FC	51c	300$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Manchester City FC	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Fulham FC	53c	285.79$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.47	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Fulham FC	53c	284$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.52	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe4…cf6ebacked Fulham FC	54c	277.78$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50b6…d364backed Manchester City FC	47c	250.91$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.98	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab4c…2a53backed Manchester City FC	49c	246.94$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.94	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.31per pick	44cpaid	+128.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Manchester City FC	48c	232.51$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.9	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Manchester City FC	48c	220.83$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.83	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fulham FC	51c	220.61$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.51	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Manchester City FC	47c	219$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.07	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Manchester City FC	47c	214.09$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.47	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Manchester City FC	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Manchester City FC	48c	200.7$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.36	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa740…ee18backed Manchester City FC	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Manchester City FC	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Manchester City FC	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Manchester City FC	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Manchester City FC	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	76	35.5%27 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f82…3d4ebacked Manchester City FC	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Fulham FC	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Fulham FC	53c	188.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Fulham FC	53c	185$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.05	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Manchester City FC	48c	185$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.2	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e5…292fbacked Manchester City FC	48c	184.77$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Fulham FC	54c	183.69$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78db…4d37backed Manchester City FC	49c	181.49$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Manchester City FC	47c	170.21$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.21	126	47.6%60 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1c…ec92backed Manchester City FC	49c	157.14$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Fulham FC	53c	149.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.74	118	50%59 W · 59 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Manchester City FC	47c	141.83$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.17	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc21d…727ebacked Manchester City FC	50c	140$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…be06backed Manchester City FC	48c	138.8$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.18	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Manchester City FC	48c	133.74$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.19	60	45%27 W · 33 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester City FC	52c	125.06$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.58	1,923	42.4%815 W · 1,108 L	-42.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Manchester City FC	48c	125$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	155	34.8%54 W · 101 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb47a…7418backed Manchester City FC	48c	125$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Manchester City FC	48c	125$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	360	36.1%130 W · 230 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Fulham FC	40c	123.49$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.1	172	44.2%76 W · 96 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Manchester City FC	48c	118.75$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.75	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Manchester City FC	49c	112.24$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.24	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac23…c1fcbacked Manchester City FC	47c	112$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.36	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Fulham FC	53c	104$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.12	139	39.6%55 W · 84 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Manchester City FC	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Manchester City FC	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Manchester City FC	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b7…52bebacked Fulham FC	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Manchester City FC	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	122	50%61 W · 61 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Manchester City FC	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	59	64.4%38 W · 21 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Manchester City FC	47c	99.82$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.9	232	50.9%118 W · 114 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Fulham FC	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event