TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,136 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c13,595$4,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,533.566,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over67c2,970$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.741844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over66c2,726$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.392,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under32c2,499$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.8415952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over56c1,875$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8254938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.467145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over66c1,483$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.2230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over66c1,409$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.964738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c1,375$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.682,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.416144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over66c983.73$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.6314975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x99a2…c5fcbacked Over63c788.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under34c685$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.871,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under32c609$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over67c494.03$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0310751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.545752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Over65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.546749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Over68c441.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.254553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13615347.1%72 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.138950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0d…0789backed Over68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.65933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over65c344.62$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.622454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over68c343.81$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.022050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over64c339.9$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.367250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Over65c321.54$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.542475%18 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Under34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Over68c261.76$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.765945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over68c255.94$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.94858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a2…1467backed Over68c239.51$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over57c238.56$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.589532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over69c231.88$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8817161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c179.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.410252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over58c173.71$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.273154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over65c155$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2514166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…9c55backed Over69c154.97$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Under26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409339.8%37 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.857050%35 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Over65c151.38$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9810846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.256553.8%35 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over68c147.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.193956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over56c129.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.222832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3240…7ce9backed Over66c121.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.211540%6 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under9c120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.455955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under21c115.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.369627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab71…d9edbacked Under36c110.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over66c92.23$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.692,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…6a00backed Over68c86.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.763860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Over65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2820144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.818449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under35c79.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.891,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under34c79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.621,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under34c79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.251,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over64c78.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3411053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ffc…4487backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.133151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under35c77.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3210044%44 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9214551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6317048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e8…9a6fbacked Over66c74.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.321250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under43c74.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7921049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Over67c73.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.291872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+44.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5320864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked Over69c72.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.462657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2608…34c1backed Over68c72.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over57c70.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.245932.2%19 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3692…2136backed Under36c70.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbd…5165backed Under36c68.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.621330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05bb…1879backed Over68c65.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.013661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over55c64.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.882020%4 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-68%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.644327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x45e0…3bafbacked Over65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5425057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.546527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over61c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5511549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Over66c59.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.688937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdb…75dbbacked Under40c59.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.021625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0529…da98backed Over67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.71040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x264c…08bcbacked Under34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c57.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.914,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over72c57.31$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.315757.9%33 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over67c57.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.884362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over67c56.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7216045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc173…ba9cbacked Under36c55.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c14…7f44backed Over67c52.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Over67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53650%18 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under37c47.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7337342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over64c46.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.961838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over68c45.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.832653.8%14 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b10…edb9backed Over67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Under34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+45.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over67c43.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.325959.3%35 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+68%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under38c42.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.338463.1%53 W · 31 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.