TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3692…2136

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-38.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+37%+$3.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.29
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.22
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+43.8%+$8.16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+52.4%+$10.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+67%+$6.71
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.84
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.45
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+35.4%+$4.94
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+41.1%+$8.22
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+32.1%+$6.43
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.88
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.48
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick64cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Peyton Stearns vs Solana Sierrabacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dubai Tennis Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jaume Munarbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rotterdam Open: Ugo Humbert vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.2%+$5.24
Rotterdam Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Qatar Total Open: Ann Li vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+138.1%+$22.14
Rotterdam Open: Guy Den Ouden vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$30.64
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92%+$18.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.