Tennis · resolved market
Rotterdam Open: Ugo Humbert vs Guy Den Ouden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b5b539a5af3aaf5b74f83e33c2a4cd16ff60cf96f1cce4cac2d5322ae07dd49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Humbertof Humbert, Ouden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ouden | 18c | 24,088$4,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,344.03 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ouden | 11c | 14,778$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.6 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Ouden | 11c | 12,365$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.11 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Humbert | 74c | 10,031$7,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Humbert | 78c | 7,908$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.94 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ouden | 13c | 4,645$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.22 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ouden | 1c | 4,199$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ouden | 3c | 3,138$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Ouden | 13c | 2,368$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.84 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Ouden | 30c | 1,549$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Ouden | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Ouden | 13c | 1,266$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.62 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Ouden | 13c | 1,165$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6836backed Humbert | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…7f0fbacked Ouden | 14c | 726.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Ouden | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Humbert | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Ouden | 12c | 607.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Ouden | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…d106backed Ouden | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ouden | 10c | 450.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ouden | 4c | 379$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Ouden | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Ouden | 9c | 347.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ouden | 11c | 336.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Ouden | 30c | 333.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ouden | 14c | 313.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Humbert | 75c | 297.27$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Ouden | 27c | 296.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Ouden | 5c | 256.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Humbert | 76c | 243.42$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Humbert | 77c | 224.7$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Ouden | 12c | 212$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Ouden | 28c | 210$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Ouden | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Ouden | 18c | 209.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 277 | 55.6%154 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Ouden | 12c | 202.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Ouden | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Ouden | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Ouden | 12c | 193.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…878cbacked Ouden | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ouden | 12c | 190.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Ouden | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ouden | 15c | 156$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ouden | 28c | 152$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Ouden | 13c | 142.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…e9bebacked Ouden | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Ouden | 18c | 118.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Ouden | 14c | 116.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Ouden | 14c | 114.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Ouden | 13c | 103.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Ouden | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Ouden | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ouden | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Ouden | 26c | 94.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…ce1cbacked Ouden | 13c | 93.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ouden | 12c | 90.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ouden | 24c | 71.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…ea3bbacked Humbert | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…2136backed Humbert | 79c | 25.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…aa8ebacked Humbert | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed Humbert | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rotterdam Open: Ugo Humbert vs Guy Den Oudenthis page
- Humbert vs. Ouden: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Humbert vs. Ouden: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Humbert vs. Ouden: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs OudenHumbert won
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Ouden (+1.5)Humbert won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.