Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Ouden (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7d326a7030aca3c12caaf34eadaad9cc5e11fe0f1529c2b11aa1d291602d55b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Humbertof Humbert, Ouden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ouden | 35c | 2,257$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.86 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Humbert | 71c | 2,105$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.5 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ouden | 2c | 1,868$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Humbert | 70c | 608.84$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.74 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ouden | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Ouden | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…8a86backed Humbert | 69c | 435.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Humbert | 47c | 430.31$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.51 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ouden | 30c | 259.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Ouden | 22c | 179.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Humbert | 70c | 106.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Humbert | 34c | 99.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Ouden | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ouden | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Humbert | 59c | 49.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Ouden | 47c | 47.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…ce1cbacked Ouden | 39c | 44.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Ouden (+1.5)this page
- Humbert vs. Ouden: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Humbert vs. Ouden: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Humbert vs. Ouden: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Rotterdam Open: Ugo Humbert vs Guy Den OudenHumbert won
- Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs OudenHumbert won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.