Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4c1e8ba6e97431e324a1c4d5cbd940bab520c00e692b1fa429320eb4222094b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, Clemson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 148,238$76,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,813.09 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Clemson Tigers | 49c | 48,386$23,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,708.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Clemson Tigers | 50c | 30,680$15,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,340 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Clemson Tigers | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Clemson Tigers | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.98 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Clemson Tigers | 46c | 25,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 24,743$12,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,124.04 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Clemson Tigers | 50c | 10,300$5,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,144 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clemson Tigers | 47c | 3,817$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 3,708$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.84 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers | 47c | 1,849$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 1,709$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.32 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 240.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 135.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Clemson Tigers | 50c | 102.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Clemson Tigers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Clemson Tigers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Clemson Tigers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Clemson Tigers | 46c | 61.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Clemson Tigers | 54c | 61.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Clemson Tigers | 48c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Clemson Tigers | 44c | 52.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Clemson Tigers | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…58fdbacked Clemson Tigers | 47c | 29.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Duke Blue Devils | 43c | 24.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…5a1cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 67c | 23.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 21.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…2136backed Clemson Tigers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 132.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-13.5)Clemson Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.