Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea6020b8b8fb8577fd0df0b85057baff06eff1fb73e99881e9a475ae5e4f0efa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Clemson Tigers, Duke Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Clemson Tigers | 12c | 28,149$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.78 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked Clemson Tigers | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Clemson Tigers | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…c15dbacked Clemson Tigers | 12c | 4,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…89a6backed Clemson Tigers | 11c | 3,382$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Clemson Tigers | 13c | 2,841$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.07 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Clemson Tigers | 9c | 2,289$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clemson Tigers | 7c | 2,194$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.91 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Clemson Tigers | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…2c9dbacked Clemson Tigers | 12c | 1,618$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Clemson Tigers | 10c | 1,228$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Clemson Tigers | 10c | 1,219$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Clemson Tigers | 10c | 1,073$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a0…d19abacked Clemson Tigers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Clemson Tigers | 11c | 938$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers | 5c | 858.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Clemson Tigers | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Clemson Tigers | 6c | 829.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…3a8abacked Clemson Tigers | 3c | 762.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Clemson Tigers | 17c | 741.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.7 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Clemson Tigers | 15c | 662.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Clemson Tigers | 12c | 640.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Clemson Tigers | 13c | 625.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Clemson Tigers | 6c | 560.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Clemson Tigers | 11c | 520$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Clemson Tigers | 13c | 477.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…6192backed Clemson Tigers | 12c | 431.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Clemson Tigers | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Clemson Tigers | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Clemson Tigers | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Clemson Tigers | 13c | 412.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Clemson Tigers | 11c | 411$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Clemson Tigers | 9c | 328$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Clemson Tigers | 7c | 316.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…ee83backed Clemson Tigers | 12c | 260.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…d3b4backed Clemson Tigers | 11c | 239.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…4b0ebacked Clemson Tigers | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Clemson Tigers | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Clemson Tigers | 13c | 190.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Clemson Tigers | 10c | 167$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Clemson Tigers | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…8a9dbacked Clemson Tigers | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Clemson Tigers | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…69adbacked Clemson Tigers | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…0178backed Clemson Tigers | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…d7c1backed Clemson Tigers | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Clemson Tigers | 15c | 147.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Clemson Tigers | 10c | 128.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4974…0a7abacked Clemson Tigers | 12c | 123$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde3b…9bcebacked Clemson Tigers | 10c | 119.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Clemson Tigers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…2451backed Clemson Tigers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Clemson Tigers | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…0e3ebacked Clemson Tigers | 11c | 99.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Clemson Tigers | 11c | 99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ff…0b32backed Clemson Tigers | 13c | 97.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Clemson Tigers | 15c | 93.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Clemson Tigers | 11c | 90.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Clemson Tigers | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…1047backed Clemson Tigers | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Duke Blue Devils | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Duke Blue Devils | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Clemson Tigers | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devilsthis page
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 132.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-13.5)Clemson Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.