TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2ff…0b32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 61 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
California Golden Bears vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.2%+$29.81
Wofford Terriers vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25%+$7.69
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Pepperdine Wavesbacked Pepperdine Waves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Colorado Buffaloes vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$27
NJIT Highlanders vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+41.1%+$28.75
Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+27.3%+$8.2
SMU Mustangs vs. Syracuse Orangebacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Liberty Flames vs. UTEP Minersbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
George Mason Patriots vs. George Washington Revolutionariesbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Siena Saintsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+54.9%+$10.98
Oregon State Beavers vs. San Francisco Donsbacked Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+212.5%+$40.12
Idaho State Bengals vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Idaho State Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
UIC Flames vs. Drake Bulldogsbacked UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$39.05
Hofstra Pride vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
NJIT Highlanders vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+120.4%+$24.09
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Morehead State Eagles (W)backed Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+30.6%+$4.29
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+726.3%+$435.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.29
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$12.74
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$37.77
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+63.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+354.5%+$70.91
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - GLuck StarPearl Playoffsbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+113.6%+$270.75
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+119.2%+$23.84
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked kONO.ECF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 33 (BO3) - GLuck StarPearl Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs PRIME (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group Cbacked PRIME · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+93.6%+$102.57
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs WW Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+105.9%+$31.78
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Playoffsbacked FOLHA AMARELA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+73.7%+$29.48
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-79.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.51
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
All 5 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$38.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+418.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+418.1%+$83.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.