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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alabama Crimson Tideof Alabama Crimson Tide, Ole Miss Rebels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7690…74e1backed Alabama Crimson Tide74c11,555$8,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.842157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Ole Miss Rebels26c5,669$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.811,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ole Miss Rebels27c2,239$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.5690645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Ole Miss Rebels24c1,637$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.4435452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Ole Miss Rebels30c1,464$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.21,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide75c1,445$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.525,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide73c1,376$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.532,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Ole Miss Rebels28c1,329$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.078356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide72c1,269$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Ole Miss Rebels17c1,141$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.572,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Ole Miss Rebels27c980$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.623149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Ole Miss Rebels27c972.22$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.556444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama Crimson Tide77c656.2$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.573,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Alabama Crimson Tide71c543.73$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Ole Miss Rebels23c468.15$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.814354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Ole Miss Rebels25c433$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2574649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ole Miss Rebels28c421.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.985,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Alabama Crimson Tide77c359$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.931,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Ole Miss Rebels26c332$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.711,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a90…f482backed Ole Miss Rebels4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Alabama Crimson Tide69c273$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ole Miss Rebels17c263.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.834,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Ole Miss Rebels24c233$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.912,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide74c226.48$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Ole Miss Rebels24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Ole Miss Rebels27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.39035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Alabama Crimson Tide76c175$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.366657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Ole Miss Rebels14c173.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Alabama Crimson Tide73c150.94$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.941,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Alabama Crimson Tide74c141.1$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.692,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Ole Miss Rebels35c130.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.577142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Alabama Crimson Tide74c122$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.138343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ole Miss Rebels28c110.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.561,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ole Miss Rebels13c105$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Alabama Crimson Tide73c104.93$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.099545.3%43 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Ole Miss Rebels23c99.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Ole Miss Rebels25c96.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1642339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Ole Miss Rebels23c96.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1919332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a79…82acbacked Alabama Crimson Tide76c91.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.87475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Alabama Crimson Tide69c88.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Ole Miss Rebels24c84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1625230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21f…9e58backed Ole Miss Rebels35c82.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.33616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed Ole Miss Rebels25c81.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Ole Miss Rebels27c79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2719138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Ole Miss Rebels26c79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.548345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Alabama Crimson Tide78c76.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.991573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed Ole Miss Rebels27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014448.6%70 W · 74 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide69c69.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.561,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Alabama Crimson Tide79c67.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0945953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Ole Miss Rebels23c64.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Ole Miss Rebels49c61.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0129954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Ole Miss Rebels33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ole Miss Rebels35c51.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.011,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4575…9628backed Ole Miss Rebels20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Ole Miss Rebels25c49.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4637835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Alabama Crimson Tide75c44.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.114987.8%43 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick77cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Ole Miss Rebels23c43.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fb…b328backed Ole Miss Rebels27c42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.245530.9%17 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9369…8b85backed Alabama Crimson Tide71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.83275%24 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Ole Miss Rebels25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Alabama Crimson Tide76c39.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3113445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked Ole Miss Rebels26c39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.144626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c4a…7e4fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide68c38.31$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Ole Miss Rebels34c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0925246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ff…0b32backed Ole Miss Rebels42c33.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alabama Crimson Tide79c33.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8393447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Alabama Crimson Tide72c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2435650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c9…89cfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.267100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.14365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Alabama Crimson Tide74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed Alabama Crimson Tide74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.543455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf5…840ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide74c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.282661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Alabama Crimson Tide75c27.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9242751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x512a…0b6ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.973470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a68…21febacked Alabama Crimson Tide78c23.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5f…b793backed Alabama Crimson Tide74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.722751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9437142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Alabama Crimson Tide77c20.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7210043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe4…52d7backed Alabama Crimson Tide75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54468.2%30 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick76cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.