TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fe4…52d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
169
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT7082.9%58 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.54
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.05
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.95
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.55
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT4468.2%30 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick76cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.54
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.77
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.77
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.98
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.77
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.98
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.57
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.98
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.97
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.18
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.97
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.16
Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zipsbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.37
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.16
Purdue Boilermakers vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.77
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.57
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Auburn Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.16
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Morehead State Eaglesbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
West Georgia Wolves vs. Queens (NC) Royalsbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.57
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
LoL: 7REX vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
LoL: Maryville University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.75
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.96
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.6%+$17.8
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+25%+$4
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
LoL: ZYB Esport vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick77cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest RED vs Sakura Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked FlyQuest RED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+25%+$4
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick77cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Hurricanes vs. Oilersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$59.8
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37%+$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.