Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8974485aa42b4e561170c2c3a413d467d4f51cf552847076e29284d2242c26b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Azure Dragon Gamingof Azure Dragon Gaming, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3522…188fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 25c | 13,072$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,842.01 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 75c | 11,099$8,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,340.3 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 22c | 5,281$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,118.82 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 24c | 1,258$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.58 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 23c | 1,250$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 72c | 850.66$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.55 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 23c | 799.61$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.7 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 23c | 753.05$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.85 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 609.1$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.92 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 603.25$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.5 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 561.14$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.47 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 544.05$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.36 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 37c | 536.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.66 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 506.05$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.72 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 417.5$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.61 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…6a47backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 75c | 372.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 333.54$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.16 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 331.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.62 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 38c | 331.05$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.52 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 299.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 45c | 299.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 298.01$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.45 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 75c | 281.71$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 75c | 281.71$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.28 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 278.92$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 278.92$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.98 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 267.22$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.43 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…cbb7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 250.1$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.58 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 23c | 234.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.67 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 40c | 224.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 214.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 200.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 189.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 188.48$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.01 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 187.49$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…4ce4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 185.07$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 74c | 183.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.01 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 181.35$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 71c | 174.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 71c | 170.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x208b…9613backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 43c | 157.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 19c | 148.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 146.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 143.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 142.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 75c | 142.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 140.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 140.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 26c | 137.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 133.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 126.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 126.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 36c | 125.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 124.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 25c | 121.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 71c | 120.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 39c | 119.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 74c | 119.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 51c | 113.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 71c | 110.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 73c | 104.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 34c | 103.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 51c | 100.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 99.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 96.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 95.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 90.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 23c | 77.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 77.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…68e6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 71.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 23c | 66.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 66.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 64.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 45c | 64.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…c4b4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 62.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 59.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…2796backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 34c | 58.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 57.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…1dc9backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 23c | 49.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 35c | 47.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 42.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 41.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 40.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 40c | 40.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…46d5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 40.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…1090backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 39.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…36febacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 44c | 39.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 38c | 39.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 38c | 37.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 37.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 35.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe967…7ab8backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 WinnerAzure Dragon Gaming won
- Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 WinnerAzure Dragon Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.