Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09424241de453f60878ec914938388e10866631df47093e54d0115c08cea0831
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Azure Dragon Gamingof Azure Dragon Gaming, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 60c | 222.86$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 30c | 140.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 18c | 139.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 59c | 122.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 30c | 119.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 58c | 110.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 20c | 84.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 83.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 40c | 59.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 59c | 58.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 69c | 51.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 31c | 48.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 31c | 46.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x601f…a0d6backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 31c | 38.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 30c | 37.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -29.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…2796backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 55c | 36.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5636…4479backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 45c | 30.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 28.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 39c | 27.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 68c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 74c | 18.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group StageAzure Dragon Gaming won
- Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 WinnerAzure Dragon Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.