TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7fb…4ce4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$34.98
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$30.48
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.77
LoL: GTZ Esports vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked GTZ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$170.18
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.64
LoL: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.96
LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.86
LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.17
LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked Zena Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.97
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$91.34
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.38
LoL: RMD Gaming vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RED Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.48
LoL: G2 NORD vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.67
LoL: RMD Gaming vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$101.93
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$33.31
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$312.19
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.03
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.08
LoL: Maryville University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
LoL: RED Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.85
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$116.41
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Game Hunters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$35.35
Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)backed Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.17
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Ursa (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$40.57
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs eLITenergy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$168.31
Counter-Strike: InControl vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked FarmVille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.8
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$89.87
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Wildcard (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.31
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.67
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.52
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.45
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$286.59
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.35
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.27
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+65%+$91.36
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.51
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+305.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$211.49
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$324.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Grado: Denisa Zoldakova vs Sofia Rocchettibacked Sofia Rocchetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$117.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.