TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Heroic, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6adc…bebabacked NIP49c44,075$21,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,677.9113633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Heroic51c29,519$15,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,478.4283652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked NIP51c22,048$11,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,196.887147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Heroic59c21,277$12,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,652.414954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Heroic49c11,974$5,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,106.7430340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed NIP47c11,396$5,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,353.5472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Heroic50c9,703$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,893.2629858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed NIP46c9,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,139.9667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed Heroic80c8,781$7,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.278564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed NIP46c6,585$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.1225842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic67c6,209$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.067,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed NIP23c5,993$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.5419645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP45c5,813$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.712,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NIP29c5,471$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.35,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf394…cdb1backed Heroic54c5,402$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.026650%33 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed NIP41c5,193$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.7317240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NIP30c5,193$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.473,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NIP39c5,165$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.521,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP47c5,079$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.785,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked NIP44c4,819$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.313,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed NIP51c4,577$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.2923839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Heroic52c4,000$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,91035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NIP38c3,608$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.812,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Heroic53c3,385$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57753746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed NIP47c3,276$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.511633.6%39 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Heroic54c3,241$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.016243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed NIP32c3,208$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.3636742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Heroic53c2,812$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.6664852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Heroic71c2,786$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.2112465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP38c2,556$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9766,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NIP44c2,359$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.924,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Heroic50c2,250$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.4815857.6%91 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Heroic51c2,149$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.461735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed2…d00bbacked Heroic62c2,064$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.515750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic47c2,021$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.812,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic75c1,968$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.7764552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Heroic50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9709047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x835b…6f16backed Heroic54c1,902$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.43748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked NIP46c1,900$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87484454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Heroic59c1,878$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.7266446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Heroic60c1,785$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.311,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed NIP15c1,712$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0442142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Heroic41c1,672$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.699850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Heroic52c1,559$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.7935550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NIP27c1,532$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.375,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Heroic50c1,450$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.0865546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Heroic52c1,400$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.989554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Heroic53c1,258$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.2610549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Heroic53c1,220$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.6613850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked NIP48c1,207$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.315732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Heroic50c1,177$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.8915637.2%58 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e4…4f28backed NIP2c1,171$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.762937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NIP25c1,159$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.732,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Heroic48c1,094$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.497040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5c…a375backed Heroic50c1,058$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.395238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Heroic50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed NIP2c999.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.717617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed NIP50c978.06$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.9760853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Heroic54c959.79$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.514146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Heroic50c946.08$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.981,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic43c926.33$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.0144957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fa…2b82backed Heroic54c902.64$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.211450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic67c776.41$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.734,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Heroic41c752.39$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.9157641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed NIP33c746.42$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2661837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Heroic54c720.3$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.345644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Heroic49c695.73$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.834850%24 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Heroic49c692.43$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.1461338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69a…0d7cbacked NIP48c658.96$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.881546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65eb…e197backed Heroic53c646.7$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.956245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Heroic71c642.2$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.11,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Heroic55c623.6$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.7591743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked NIP25c620.34$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5525651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked NIP48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28842050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed NIP25c599.3$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9730527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed NIP63c598.11$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.8131444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Heroic48c581.61$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.588032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NIP41c580.66$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed NIP17c573.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.051,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Heroic50c572.3$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.158052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf44…760bbacked Heroic51c568.85$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.191050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Heroic48c547.85$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.1847738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked NIP51c536.68$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.7129052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e3…af4bbacked Heroic54c536.39$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.73073.3%22 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x739d…999bbacked NIP37c522.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.346759.7%40 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Heroic76c518.74$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.58066.3%53 W · 27 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed NIP57c502.37$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3529831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NIP28c495.33$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.822,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed NIP52c485.6$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.514459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Heroic50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.529154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP22c449$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.823,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Heroic56c445.33$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4663038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53d5…64c7backed Heroic57c439.91$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2b…6813backed Heroic57c428.43$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.92254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked NIP22c426.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6148319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Heroic76c419$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.561,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked NIP6c411.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.391,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Heroic53c409.2$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.177940.5%32 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7168…4e24backed NIP7c403.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1140%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Heroic75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10038650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.