CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b1f403f85f65c15cc77f9d992f9db850d10455d226c2d7884e030b301c81bb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked NIP | 49c | 44,075$21,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,677.91 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Heroic | 51c | 29,519$15,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,478.42 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked NIP | 51c | 22,048$11,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,196.88 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Heroic | 59c | 21,277$12,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,652.4 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Heroic | 49c | 11,974$5,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,106.74 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed NIP | 47c | 11,396$5,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353.54 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Heroic | 50c | 9,703$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,893.26 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed NIP | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.96 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…3e47backed Heroic | 80c | 8,781$7,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.27 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed NIP | 46c | 6,585$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.12 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 67c | 6,209$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.06 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed NIP | 23c | 5,993$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.54 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP | 45c | 5,813$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.71 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 29c | 5,471$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.3 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed Heroic | 54c | 5,402$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.02 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed NIP | 41c | 5,193$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.73 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NIP | 30c | 5,193$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.47 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NIP | 39c | 5,165$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.52 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP | 47c | 5,079$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 44c | 4,819$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.31 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed NIP | 51c | 4,577$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.29 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Heroic | 52c | 4,000$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NIP | 38c | 3,608$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.81 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Heroic | 53c | 3,385$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed NIP | 47c | 3,276$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.5 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Heroic | 54c | 3,241$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.01 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed NIP | 32c | 3,208$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.36 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Heroic | 53c | 2,812$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.66 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Heroic | 71c | 2,786$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.21 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 38c | 2,556$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 44c | 2,359$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.92 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Heroic | 50c | 2,250$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.48 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Heroic | 51c | 2,149$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed2…d00bbacked Heroic | 62c | 2,064$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.51 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 47c | 2,021$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.81 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic | 75c | 1,968$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.77 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Heroic | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…6f16backed Heroic | 54c | 1,902$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.4 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked NIP | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Heroic | 59c | 1,878$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.72 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Heroic | 60c | 1,785$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.31 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed NIP | 15c | 1,712$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.04 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Heroic | 41c | 1,672$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.69 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Heroic | 52c | 1,559$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.79 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 27c | 1,532$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.37 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Heroic | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.08 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Heroic | 52c | 1,400$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.98 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Heroic | 53c | 1,258$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.26 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Heroic | 53c | 1,220$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.66 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked NIP | 48c | 1,207$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.3 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Heroic | 50c | 1,177$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.89 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…4f28backed NIP | 2c | 1,171$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NIP | 25c | 1,159$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.73 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Heroic | 48c | 1,094$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.4 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Heroic | 50c | 1,058$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.39 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Heroic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed NIP | 2c | 999.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed NIP | 50c | 978.06$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.97 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Heroic | 54c | 959.79$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.51 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Heroic | 50c | 946.08$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.98 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic | 43c | 926.33$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.01 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed Heroic | 54c | 902.64$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 67c | 776.41$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.73 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Heroic | 41c | 752.39$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.91 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed NIP | 33c | 746.42$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Heroic | 54c | 720.3$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Heroic | 49c | 695.73$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.83 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Heroic | 49c | 692.43$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.14 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…0d7cbacked NIP | 48c | 658.96$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Heroic | 53c | 646.7$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.95 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Heroic | 71c | 642.2$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.1 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Heroic | 55c | 623.6$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked NIP | 25c | 620.34$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked NIP | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed NIP | 25c | 599.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed NIP | 63c | 598.11$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.81 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Heroic | 48c | 581.61$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.58 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NIP | 41c | 580.66$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.07 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed NIP | 17c | 573.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Heroic | 50c | 572.3$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.15 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf44…760bbacked Heroic | 51c | 568.85$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Heroic | 48c | 547.85$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.18 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked NIP | 51c | 536.68$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.71 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…af4bbacked Heroic | 54c | 536.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked NIP | 37c | 522.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Heroic | 76c | 518.74$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed NIP | 57c | 502.37$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.35 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NIP | 28c | 495.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.82 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed NIP | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Heroic | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 22c | 449$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Heroic | 56c | 445.33$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…64c7backed Heroic | 57c | 439.91$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…6813backed Heroic | 57c | 428.43$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked NIP | 22c | 426.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Heroic | 76c | 419$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked NIP | 6c | 411.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Heroic | 53c | 409.2$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.17 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…4e24backed NIP | 7c | 403.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Heroic | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)Heroic won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.