CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4a2da8a4cdd5c85a962df18f4c166b378dbbfbffff56529921430fd9c00486b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked NIP | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Heroic | 67c | 9,275$6,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.28 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic | 76c | 5,932$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.72 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Heroic | 57c | 5,099$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.76 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked NIP | 43c | 4,674$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.31 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP | 31c | 4,320$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.25 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NIP | 17c | 3,343$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 18c | 3,304$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.7 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NIP | 27c | 3,171$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.89 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed NIP | 43c | 2,858$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.09 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NIP | 26c | 2,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.33 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Heroic | 58c | 2,397$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.89 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 26c | 2,059$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.52 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NIP | 5c | 2,002$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked NIP | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NIP | 5c | 1,998$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed NIP | 25c | 1,745$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.02 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Heroic | 57c | 1,710$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.14 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked NIP | 7c | 1,561$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d027backed Heroic | 78c | 1,561$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed NIP | 42c | 1,334$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.25 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked NIP | 44c | 1,306$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.77 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 19c | 1,190$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.33 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed NIP | 42c | 1,034$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.34 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed NIP | 43c | 1,027$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.68 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Heroic | 56c | 899.98$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked NIP | 27c | 851.13$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.14 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed NIP | 43c | 755.82$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.37 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Heroic | 56c | 749.7$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.24 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed NIP | 14c | 700.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -12.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked NIP | 44c | 658.91$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Heroic | 59c | 656.12$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.01 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked NIP | 4c | 600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heroic | 56c | 584.16$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed NIP | 45c | 541.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.69 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Heroic | 61c | 540.86$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.78 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Heroic | 58c | 536.14$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed NIP | 49c | 528.27$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.88 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…e615backed NIP | 58c | 511.59$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.78 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked NIP | 7c | 506.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Heroic | 54c | 505.5$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.58 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Heroic | 56c | 502.59$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.98 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Heroic | 58c | 482.26$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed NIP | 23c | 467.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Heroic | 58c | 455.78$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Heroic | 59c | 453.78$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.03 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed NIP | 46c | 416.97$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…5d64backed Heroic | 48c | 401.16$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Heroic | 58c | 398.49$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2d…6b23backed NIP | 45c | 378.26$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed NIP | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed NIP | 43c | 296.86$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Heroic | 48c | 295.76$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked NIP | 45c | 294.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed NIP | 20c | 289.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NIP | 40c | 287.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Heroic | 51c | 269.14$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked NIP | 42c | 257$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…2834backed NIP | 45c | 254.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed NIP | 45c | 243.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed NIP | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…de70backed Heroic | 58c | 213.61$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Heroic | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Heroic | 56c | 199.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa360…4799backed NIP | 18c | 192.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…0d7cbacked NIP | 28c | 188.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…6cdcbacked Heroic | 58c | 181.77$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Heroic | 58c | 181.51$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Heroic | 58c | 180.27$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Heroic | 58c | 177.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…0b0abacked Heroic | 58c | 168.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…2e63backed NIP | 45c | 166.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP | 47c | 154.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NIP | 13c | 153.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP | 42c | 152.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed NIP | 24c | 149.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked NIP | 43c | 145.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Heroic | 43c | 144.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed NIP | 8c | 134.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Heroic | 63c | 133.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x856b…5f76backed Heroic | 48c | 118.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed NIP | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed NIP | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa932…3081backed Heroic | 58c | 108.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed NIP | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NIP | 30c | 103.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Heroic | 46c | 102.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked NIP | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed NIP | 49c | 99.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed NIP | 42c | 98.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heroic | 58c | 97.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NIP | 37c | 91.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Heroic | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd1…cfb5backed NIP | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed Heroic | 71c | 71.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed Heroic | 73c | 66.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbc…3d8abacked NIP | 44c | 65.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked NIP | 23c | 62.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Heroic | 58c | 62.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…69fabacked NIP | 33c | 61.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 PlayoffsHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)Heroic won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.