TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Heroic, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbdd0…c5aebacked NIP0c12,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked Heroic67c9,275$6,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,083.283036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic76c5,932$4,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.7244957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Heroic57c5,099$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.7657358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked NIP43c4,674$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.3159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP31c4,320$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.252,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NIP17c3,343$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.51,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NIP18c3,304$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.74,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NIP27c3,171$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.891,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed NIP43c2,858$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.094944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NIP26c2,600$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.332,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Heroic58c2,397$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.8931345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked NIP26c2,059$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.523,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NIP5c2,002$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.11,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked NIP20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NIP5c1,998$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9187047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed NIP25c1,745$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.0249646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed Heroic57c1,710$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.144351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked NIP7c1,561$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7237441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2a…d027backed Heroic78c1,561$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.95666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed NIP42c1,334$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.2539248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked NIP44c1,306$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.7724538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP19c1,190$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.336,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed NIP42c1,034$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.348032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed NIP43c1,027$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.6864552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Heroic56c899.98$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9924350.6%123 W · 120 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked NIP27c851.13$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1428644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed NIP43c755.82$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.373435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Heroic56c749.7$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.2461338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed NIP14c700.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.816426.6%17 W · 47 L-12.3wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked NIP44c658.91$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9223056.1%129 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Heroic59c656.12$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.012458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked NIP4c600$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2669624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Heroic56c584.16$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0346340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed NIP45c541.97$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6929052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Heroic61c540.86$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7831452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Heroic58c536.14$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1829235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed NIP49c528.27$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8846345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa5…e615backed NIP58c511.59$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.783568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked NIP7c506.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.981,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Heroic54c505.5$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5812148.8%59 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Heroic56c502.59$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.981,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Heroic58c482.26$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.225651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed NIP23c467.25$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2755950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Heroic58c455.78$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.627749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Heroic59c453.78$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.035158.8%30 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed NIP46c416.97$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5724346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed Heroic48c401.16$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3612452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Heroic58c398.49$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4610442.3%44 W · 60 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d2d…6b23backed NIP45c378.26$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed NIP42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12653444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed NIP43c296.86$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5132042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Heroic48c295.76$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.611,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked NIP45c294.94$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7219540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed NIP20c289.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0463541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NIP40c287.91$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.822,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4092…f145backed Heroic51c269.14$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.945650%28 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked NIP42c257$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9415732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed NIP45c254.19$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3914545.5%66 W · 79 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed NIP45c243.37$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2669635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed NIP41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4637445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed Heroic58c213.61$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.817166.2%47 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Heroic45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1106450%32 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Heroic56c199.73$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8822358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa360…4799backed NIP18c192.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69a…0d7cbacked NIP28c188.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.811546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb665…6cdcbacked Heroic58c181.77$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.54862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked Heroic58c181.51$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2425045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Heroic58c180.27$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7119448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Heroic58c177.77$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.160953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8c5…0b0abacked Heroic58c168.39$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.923046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x503c…2e63backed NIP45c166.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9950%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP47c154.11$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.345,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed NIP13c153.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6657322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP42c152.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.162,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed NIP24c149.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9620045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked NIP43c145.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.512722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-60.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Heroic43c144.84$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5611240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed NIP8c134.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.795543.6%24 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Heroic63c133.41$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.735,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x856b…5f76backed Heroic48c118.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.664757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed NIP44c115$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.638452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed NIP43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa932…3081backed Heroic58c108.97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.773363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed NIP45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.351,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NIP30c103.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.32,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc3ef…813bbacked Heroic46c102.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.223743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked NIP10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed NIP49c99.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.871,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed NIP42c98.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2397040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Heroic58c97.47$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9442149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NIP37c91.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.052,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Heroic59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8915358.2%89 W · 64 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd1…cfb5backed NIP24c79.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.092339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf5…e7c3backed Heroic71c71.82$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.649753.6%52 W · 45 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdde…af48backed Heroic73c66.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7813964%89 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bbc…3d8abacked NIP44c65.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.761729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked NIP23c62.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.471,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Heroic58c62.19$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1233459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa97…69fabacked NIP33c61.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.