CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf93a77ee4deec571b11848011ffa30c02d43d916f2fd5ac12e1b3d2f1aabd388
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic | 53c | 14,062$7,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,613.24 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NIP | 36c | 6,237$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.42 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 64c | 5,443$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.21 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 63c | 5,055$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.06 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed NIP | 46c | 4,936$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.51 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 53c | 4,556$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.09 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Heroic | 55c | 3,535$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.39 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic | 34c | 2,278$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.9 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 52c | 2,030$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.04 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked NIP | 45c | 1,850$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.29 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NIP | 46c | 1,763$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.15 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7306backed NIP | 78c | 1,486$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Heroic | 38c | 1,416$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.06 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked NIP | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Heroic | 48c | 1,193$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.92 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca3…86cebacked NIP | 37c | 1,138$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed NIP | 59c | 1,028$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.34 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked NIP | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed NIP | 49c | 976.37$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.52 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d027backed Heroic | 75c | 942.24$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP | 45c | 902.63$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.18 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked NIP | 38c | 901.33$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.75 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 44c | 823.87$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.73 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Heroic | 54c | 807.37$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.75 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed NIP | 25c | 798.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.54 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 47c | 700.91$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…0d7cbacked NIP | 66c | 699.89$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Heroic | 49c | 679.71$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.88 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…5d64backed Heroic | 57c | 600.93$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.02 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked NIP | 52c | 563.39$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.31 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed NIP | 38c | 555.37$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.85 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked NIP | 27c | 548$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked NIP | 54c | 517.47$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.09 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 56c | 492.66$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.45 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Heroic | 51c | 485.41$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.02 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 49c | 450.85$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.06 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 52c | 411.77$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Heroic | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.23 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 69c | 358.61$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed NIP | 44c | 331.8$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Heroic | 59c | 330.62$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Heroic | 37c | 314.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.92 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed NIP | 45c | 301.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed NIP | 65c | 300.6$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Heroic | 63c | 292.63$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Heroic | 57c | 292.22$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.31 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Heroic | 22c | 288.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.77 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Heroic | 43c | 285.84$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.89 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Heroic | 30c | 277.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed NIP | 53c | 276.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Heroic | 36c | 275.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Heroic | 21c | 272.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.05 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed NIP | 47c | 270.47$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Heroic | 76c | 269.86$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked NIP | 46c | 269.84$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed NIP | 75c | 265.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.77 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Heroic | 20c | 238.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.68 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Heroic | 62c | 237.18$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Heroic | 54c | 236.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed NIP | 74c | 233.57$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.84 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Heroic | 24c | 231.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed NIP | 21c | 229.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Heroic | 67c | 223.58$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…de70backed NIP | 44c | 221.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Heroic | 33c | 217.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…69fabacked Heroic | 56c | 214.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed NIP | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed NIP | 52c | 197.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Heroic | 57c | 194.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP | 48c | 189.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked NIP | 24c | 186.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed NIP | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed NIP | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…0b0abacked Heroic | 29c | 174.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Heroic | 23c | 167.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Heroic | 57c | 163.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed NIP | 35c | 150.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked NIP | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed NIP | 52c | 146.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed NIP | 26c | 143$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked NIP | 38c | 126.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Heroic | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked NIP | 49c | 119.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked NIP | 41c | 115$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed NIP | 42c | 114.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Heroic | 46c | 111.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…2e63backed NIP | 69c | 110.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed NIP | 78c | 110$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed NIP | 45c | 107.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Heroic | 65c | 104.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed NIP | 24c | 103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked NIP | 40c | 100.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed NIP | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed NIP | 27c | 95.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed NIP | 43c | 94.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NIP | 61c | 93.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86d…575fbacked Heroic | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…90c2backed Heroic | 65c | 87.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed NIP | 69c | 86.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…202abacked NIP | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 PlayoffsHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)Heroic won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.