Lol · resolved market

LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fd9721f3734fbc8d0934323bf5c43db1ac94130b33d1372cd600945904b7f53

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: HMBLEof HMBLE, Zena Esports
Resolved: Apr 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $92,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,217 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Zena Esports	13c	43,451$5,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,616.44	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Zena Esports	17c	5,845$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.93	135	38.5%52 W · 83 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Zena Esports	15c	2,612$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.09	449	38.1%171 W · 278 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Zena Esports	15c	2,285$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.75	679	31.8%216 W · 463 L	-31.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa34…6628backed Zena Esports	14c	1,829$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.03	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7fb…4ce4backed Zena Esports	14c	1,186$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.97	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Zena Esports	15c	1,141$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.03	312	42.6%133 W · 179 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Zena Esports	2c	1,102$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.38	111	11.7%13 W · 98 L	-17.1wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Zena Esports	14c	718.1$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.73	240	38.3%92 W · 148 L	-15.5wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed Zena Esports	13c	707.98$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.04	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Zena Esports	10c	663.21$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.51	208	26.9%56 W · 152 L	-13.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zena Esports	13c	587.26$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.34	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1815…e1d4backed Zena Esports	8c	516.81$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Zena Esports	11c	500.1$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.01	246	43.1%106 W · 140 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Zena Esports	9c	483.24$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.59	218	40.4%88 W · 130 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Zena Esports	14c	429.8$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.03	2,240	37.3%836 W · 1,404 L	-31.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Zena Esports	15c	426.22$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.39	222	39.6%88 W · 134 L	-21.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Zena Esports	13c	364.54$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.39	313	21.1%66 W · 247 L	-11.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd48…8e98backed Zena Esports	9c	300.63$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.37	50	20%10 W · 40 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Zena Esports	12c	299.96$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	1,520	3.3%50 W · 1,470 L	-54.0wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dac…b29cbacked Zena Esports	8c	267.38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.39	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Zena Esports	16c	261.98$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.78	909	37.3%339 W · 570 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Zena Esports	13c	261.51$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.47	366	47.3%173 W · 193 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Zena Esports	14c	257.42$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.04	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Zena Esports	13c	256.03$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.63	584	20.2%118 W · 466 L	-58.1wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-43%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Zena Esports	10c	252.04$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.23	1,067	23.5%251 W · 816 L	-76.8wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Zena Esports	13c	249.84$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.55	573	49.4%283 W · 290 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Zena Esports	14c	244.19$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.19	108	31.5%34 W · 74 L	-10.5wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x429f…cbbdbacked Zena Esports	8c	228.64$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.29	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…f4a4backed Zena Esports	8c	218.25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…e794backed Zena Esports	8c	215.41$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Zena Esports	13c	214.09$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.78	360	47.5%171 W · 189 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x103b…32aebacked Zena Esports	9c	202.54$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.47	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	30cpaid	+67.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c2…0e8abacked Zena Esports	13c	200.93$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.12	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6a…81d6backed Zena Esports	15c	199.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed Zena Esports	14c	189.68$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Zena Esports	9c	182.4$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.77	2,910	38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L	-120.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked HMBLE	80c	171.65$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.33	205	56.6%116 W · 89 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Zena Esports	9c	168.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.38	185	42.2%78 W · 107 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Zena Esports	11c	150$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	83	31.3%26 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Zena Esports	14c	149.87$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	218	36.7%80 W · 138 L	-13.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Zena Esports	13c	148.94$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	330	42.4%140 W · 190 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Zena Esports	12c	142.84$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	780	43.1%336 W · 444 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Zena Esports	11c	140$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	573	33%189 W · 384 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Zena Esports	14c	121.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.02	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14fa…5258backed Zena Esports	14c	102.49$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Zena Esports	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	249	41.4%103 W · 146 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked Zena Esports	13c	97.7$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70e0…6821backed Zena Esports	15c	94.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	60	41.7%25 W · 35 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe8…9f16backed Zena Esports	12c	85.12$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Zena Esports	16c	81.54$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.73	326	50%163 W · 163 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market