Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0ebb0c64b4aac0e45a679519da9d8e2bd83952c2e6ce24af965ea282af0d80e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Alliance Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked FlyQuest | 71c | 4,031$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.68 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Alliance Guardians | 27c | 3,330$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.68 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Alliance Guardians | 29c | 1,800$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FlyQuest | 71c | 1,442$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.19 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance Guardians | 29c | 1,268$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.76 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Alliance Guardians | 29c | 760.21$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Alliance Guardians | 27c | 717.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FlyQuest | 72c | 603.53$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.16 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance Guardians | 27c | 565.63$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 499.92$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed FlyQuest | 74c | 395.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked FlyQuest | 76c | 324.43$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked FlyQuest | 73c | 262.2$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -8.1wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Alliance Guardians | 27c | 245.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Alliance Guardians | 26c | 245.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance Guardians | 19c | 242.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…4ce4backed Alliance Guardians | 27c | 234.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 214.6$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Alliance Guardians | 29c | 181.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed FlyQuest | 72c | 176.53$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 160.46$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 145.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed FlyQuest | 73c | 133$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed FlyQuest | 73c | 120.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 109.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed FlyQuest | 74c | 109.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed FlyQuest | 74c | 102.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alliance Guardians | 17c | 102.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Alliance Guardians | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed FlyQuest | 71c | 94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed FlyQuest | 74c | 92.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed FlyQuest | 73c | 90.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed FlyQuest | 74c | 88.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed FlyQuest | 74c | 88.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed FlyQuest | 73c | 85.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Alliance Guardians | 28c | 83.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Alliance Guardians | 25c | 76.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alliance Guardians | 26c | 71.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed FlyQuest | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Alliance Guardians | 25c | 66.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ca…3b08backed FlyQuest | 74c | 64.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked FlyQuest | 74c | 59.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca7…e965backed FlyQuest | 74c | 57.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed FlyQuest | 74c | 57.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked FlyQuest | 80c | 55.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 53.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Alliance Guardians | 25c | 44.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked FlyQuest | 71c | 39.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Alliance Guardians | 27c | 38.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…32f8backed FlyQuest | 75c | 32.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed FlyQuest | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed FlyQuest | 73c | 31.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…0a81backed FlyQuest | 73c | 31.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked FlyQuest | 74c | 30.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed FlyQuest | 74c | 25.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked FlyQuest | 75c | 21.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed FlyQuest | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FlyQuest | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed FlyQuest | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 16.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Alliance Guardians - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.