NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1227b156bbb9376d4ab95722fbb45ce2712d099f97139d2a0f81ee2dca4d6e6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Warriors, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,846,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,880,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,846,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 910 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Warriors | 47c | 206,703$96,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,993.9 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…1ec9backed Warriors | 53c | 127,633$67,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,624.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Kings | 18c | 112,284$20,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,072.61 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kings | 35c | 77,990$27,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,853.43 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Warriors | 65c | 56,064$36,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,423.24 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kings | 54c | 52,639$28,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,381.82 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 37c | 51,646$19,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,435.93 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Kings | 25c | 46,233$11,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,712.72 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…a55cbacked Kings | 55c | 43,778$23,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,814.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 39c | 40,146$15,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,494.37 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Warriors | 45c | 39,968$18,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,134.43 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kings | 19c | 35,794$6,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,993.25 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 31c | 31,018$9,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,704.89 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…be95backed Kings | 64c | 28,209$18,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,169.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Kings | 19c | 27,591$5,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,348.39 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 9c | 26,093$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.6 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 48c | 24,059$11,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,604.31 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Warriors | 44c | 21,909$9,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,639.93 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Warriors | 49c | 20,969$10,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,274.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Warriors | 15c | 20,665$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.99 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Kings | 17c | 19,286$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,018.99 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 54c | 18,579$10,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,037.44 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Warriors | 76c | 15,963$12,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,150.07 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Warriors | 45c | 14,901$6,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,705.49 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 41c | 14,523$6,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,011.33 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Kings | 54c | 14,498$7,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,733.35 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Warriors | 44c | 14,390$6,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,361.81 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…42b8backed Warriors | 73c | 12,577$9,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,180.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 69cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb17c…e5c2backed Warriors | 0c | 12,277$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings | 36c | 12,169$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,735.8 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Warriors | 77c | 12,169$9,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,370.13 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Kings | 23c | 11,526$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,877.24 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Kings | 38c | 11,008$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,859.7 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Warriors | 62c | 10,766$6,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,665.13 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ac…ea58backed Warriors | 60c | 10,273$6,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,168.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Warriors | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Warriors | 47c | 10,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1251…9ccfbacked Kings | 20c | 9,521$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,604.56 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +118%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings | 44c | 8,736$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,928.33 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Kings | 34c | 8,735$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,731.6 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Warriors | 27c | 8,671$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.72 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings | 50c | 8,334$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.19 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 7c | 7,884$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.57 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Warriors | 58c | 7,638$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,431.74 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Warriors | 78c | 7,290$5,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,656.2 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Kings | 36c | 6,824$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Warriors | 6c | 6,652$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.72 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Warriors | 54c | 6,069$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.05 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Kings | 55c | 5,909$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.94 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Warriors | 6c | 5,805$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.7 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Warriors | 58c | 5,721$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.62 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Kings | 18c | 5,666$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,626.05 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Kings | 19c | 5,221$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,228.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Warriors | 58c | 5,124$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.02 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 1c | 5,100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…b5efbacked Warriors | 50c | 5,027$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.88 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Kings | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Warriors | 25c | 4,515$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.81 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Kings | 73c | 4,250$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.71 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Kings | 14c | 4,178$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.92 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Kings | 27c | 4,162$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.89 | 382 | 61.5%235 W · 147 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Warriors | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Warriors | 47c | 3,922$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.27 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kings | 62c | 3,905$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.93 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Kings | 55c | 3,892$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.4 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Kings | 51c | 3,798$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.44 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 60c | 3,721$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.6 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Kings | 61c | 3,665$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.46 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 47c | 3,608$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…7736backed Kings | 56c | 3,477$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Warriors | 52c | 3,454$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.3 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 3,449$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 34c | 3,355$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.91 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Warriors | 43c | 3,331$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 36c | 3,128$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.07 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Warriors | 59c | 3,124$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.47 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Kings | 32c | 3,046$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.94 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Warriors | 49c | 3,019$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.63 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Kings | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.99 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Warriors | 63c | 2,981$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.73 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Warriors | 28c | 2,964$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.17 | 152 | 19.7%30 W · 122 L | -26.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…ec52backed Warriors | 61c | 2,930$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.44 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Warriors | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Kings | 30c | 2,874$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.8 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Warriors | 57c | 2,781$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.48 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ca…30f9backed Warriors | 9c | 2,741$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.06 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Warriors | 45c | 2,708$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.97 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warriors | 29c | 2,654$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.48 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Warriors | 58c | 2,579$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.28 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Warriors | 47c | 2,575$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.25 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…3b78backed Kings | 16c | 2,509$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.1 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Kings | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.98 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…88c0backed Warriors | 24c | 2,384$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.65 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Kings | 23c | 2,334$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.66 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Warriors | 64c | 2,295$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.92 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Warriors | 65c | 2,259$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.51 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Warriors | 3c | 2,183$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Warriors | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Kingsthis page
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Kings won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.