NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb84cefddc572e5c413d6a4c9e1a978feb233ea1b1a5c711c44d44af93a565a6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Warriors, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Warriors | 28c | 92,743$25,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,996.03 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Kings | 49c | 55,648$27,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,380.48 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 52c | 27,863$14,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,410.31 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kings | 77c | 27,540$21,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,341.13 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kings | 48c | 23,183$11,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,055.09 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 52c | 15,778$8,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,152.44 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 73c | 15,182$11,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,105.28 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Warriors | 50c | 12,280$6,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,144.93 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 50c | 10,735$5,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.35 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 67c | 10,543$7,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.88 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8a…e4cdbacked Kings | 50c | 9,587$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,804.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Kings | 48c | 9,205$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,786.02 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Kings | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.98 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…f29dbacked Warriors | 51c | 6,454$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Warriors | 51c | 5,519$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.74 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kings | 75c | 4,837$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.99 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Kings | 65c | 4,806$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.71 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Warriors | 51c | 4,149$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.91 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 50c | 3,714$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.34 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 49c | 3,440$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,363$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Warriors | 57c | 2,547$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.64 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Kings | 79c | 2,522$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.22 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Warriors | 50c | 2,450$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.11 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 62c | 2,375$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.6 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 51c | 2,184$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Warriors | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 46c | 1,996$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.69 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Warriors | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 69c | 1,780$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 47c | 1,779$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Kings | 69c | 1,746$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.81 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Kings | 74c | 1,661$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.17 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Kings | 74c | 1,650$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.95 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 51c | 1,627$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.55 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 75c | 1,506$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.17 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Warriors | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Warriors | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Warriors | 30c | 1,460$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.44 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,310$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.34 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Kings | 75c | 1,290$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.29 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kings | 49c | 1,098$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.39 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Warriors | 52c | 1,085$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.11 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 46c | 1,077$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.48 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kings | 74c | 1,071$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.13 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kings | 75c | 1,055$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.65 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kings | 74c | 1,037$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.09 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 49c | 1,001$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Kings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db6…e5d4backed Warriors | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Kings | 75c | 951.15$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.46 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 51c | 923.66$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Warriors | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Warriors | 12c | 789.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 471 | 34.2%161 W · 310 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Warriors | 39c | 741.8$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.01 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Warriors | 52c | 651.38$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.72 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Warriors | 53c | 629.87$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.83 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Warriors | 55c | 620.18$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.53 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…9787backed Warriors | 48c | 581.28$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Warriors | 52c | 560.08$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.24 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Warriors | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Warriors | 40c | 539.67$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.1 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Warriors | 42c | 529.4$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Warriors | 56c | 524.01$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.03 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Kings | 75c | 520.65$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.35 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kings | 75c | 472.04$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kings | 68c | 403.61$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.39 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Kings | 48c | 401.65$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.86 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Warriors | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Warriors | 44c | 391.67$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Warriors | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Warriors | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Kings | 60c | 374.13$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kings | 44c | 350.64$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.8 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Kings | 51c | 334.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Warriors | 48c | 332.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Kings | 59c | 328.96$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Warriors | 53c | 297.04$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Kings | 75c | 278.67$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…6822backed Warriors | 12c | 276.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Kings | 74c | 276.14$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Kings | 75c | 273.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Warriors | 10c | 255.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Kings | 49c | 247.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Warriors | 33c | 222.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kings | 76c | 220.77$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…d401backed Warriors | 56c | 202.93$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Kings | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Kings | 56c | 199.15$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Warriors | 52c | 199.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Kings | 49c | 198.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Kings | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Kings | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Warriors | 50c | 192.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Kings | 48c | 188.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Warriors | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Warriors | 50c | 180.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)this page
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Kings won
- Warriors vs. KingsKings won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.