NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3ffc473cc349b9b04e9b980e470aa776ff16c70133adc8054e4fe5d2a7b6a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $508,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $501,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Over | 49c | 335,364$164,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170,549.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 162,897$81,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,778.84 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 51c | 97,200$49,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,955.95 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 53c | 59,964$31,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,746.96 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Under | 53c | 35,000$18,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,550 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 19,295$9,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,840.37 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 48c | 18,319$8,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,510.67 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 14,219$6,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,532.33 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 14,207$7,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,196.44 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 11,103$5,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,736.35 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 5,036$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.75 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…6f34backed Over | 47c | 4,132$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 3,711$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.33 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Under | 50c | 3,534$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.1 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 3,247$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…c881backed Over | 47c | 2,995$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 53c | 2,955$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.24 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 47c | 2,947$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.15 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 44c | 2,898$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 49c | 2,803$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.61 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 47c | 2,770$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.21 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 49c | 2,606$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.86 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 47c | 2,472$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.16 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 2,172$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 47c | 1,855$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.19 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 49c | 1,723$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.78 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 1,613$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.18 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 47c | 1,545$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.85 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 51c | 1,404$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.16 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 1,122$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa630…2359backed Under | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…4572backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 47c | 982.68$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.5 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Under | 54c | 973.71$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.07 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 49c | 877.64$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.03 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 873.47$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 49c | 868.58$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.94 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 49c | 868.07$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.89 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 49c | 853.95$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.02 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 49c | 835.32$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.76 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Over | 49c | 825.63$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.07 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Over | 49c | 783.36$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.64 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 46c | 709.86$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.21 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 47c | 609.97$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.28 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 597.17$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.14 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 49c | 591.3$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.45 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d2ffbacked Over | 47c | 589.16$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 53c | 546$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 507.22$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.61 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 477.95$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.22 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 51c | 470.56$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 53c | 458.38$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.94 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 446.93$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 46c | 436.16$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.53 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 51c | 375.4$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.46 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 52c | 373.55$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.83 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 370.04$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 55c | 351.91$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.27 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Over | 47c | 315.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 52c | 301.51$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.79 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 292.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.97 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Over | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 46c | 279.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 255.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 46c | 252.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 48c | 239.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Under | 37c | 220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Under | 50c | 218$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 52c | 207.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 207.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 206.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 47c | 189.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…0888backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 51c | 179.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…4d42backed Under | 54c | 178.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Under | 42c | 178.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…83c6backed Over | 49c | 167.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 49c | 166.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5this page
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Kings won
- Warriors vs. KingsKings won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.