NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d84d98d19cba861e263f28ab0b33d51be01578d75c6bbee6f3d51b3d2ed6c6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 45c | 5,735$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.8 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 4,224$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.75 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 3,927$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.31 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Under | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.89 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 51c | 2,767$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.91 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 2,736$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.17 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 40c | 2,592$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.14 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 2,295$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 2,264$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 43c | 1,527$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.07 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe2…2c56backed Under | 45c | 1,315$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.98 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 1,077$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.49 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…9cebbacked Under | 49c | 1,033$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.17 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Under | 44c | 912.65$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Under | 49c | 876.22$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.75 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 734.41$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.21 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Under | 44c | 681.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 55c | 540.02$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.01 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 55c | 525.02$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.8 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 55c | 525.02$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.8 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 55c | 511.23$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.28 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 55c | 509.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.32 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 55c | 509.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.32 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 509.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.32 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 55c | 509.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.32 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 55c | 509.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.32 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 506.73$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 500$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.41 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 65c | 380.34$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 362.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.67 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Under | 50c | 355.81$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 55c | 326.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…5bedbacked Over | 50c | 310.4$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 55c | 302.41$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 55c | 302.41$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 55c | 302.41$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 55c | 302.41$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 298.84$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.42 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 51c | 257.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 55c | 254.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Under | 33c | 250$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Over | 55c | 245.54$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 55c | 213.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 55c | 203.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 48c | 197.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 59c | 195.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 29c | 187.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Over | 56c | 174.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Under | 46c | 174.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 163.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 55c | 163.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 55c | 161.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 159.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 154.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Under | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Under | 50c | 137.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 28c | 136$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 129.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 50c | 117$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 55c | 116.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 51c | 113.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 58c | 111.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 49c | 98.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Over | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Over | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Under | 25c | 97.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 28c | 93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…6595backed Over | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 28c | 71.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 28c | 71.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 50c | 67.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…a62dbacked Over | 48c | 67.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 51c | 60.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 49c | 59.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 28c | 57.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 28c | 57.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 27c | 54.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 55c | 52.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 52.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 52c | 50.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Over | 60c | 45.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 40c | 40.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 51c | 34.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 51c | 33.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 228.5this page
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Kings won
- Warriors vs. KingsKings won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.