NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37eab829c4ee00167712224efec590aed523b219827fa6d1763a8b6cbcd43e7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Warriors, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Warriors | 20c | 18,976$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.93 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 77c | 13,266$10,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.44 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Warriors | 48c | 10,092$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings | 54c | 9,976$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.06 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 52c | 9,182$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.48 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe950…1e0abacked Warriors | 49c | 6,856$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 46c | 5,013$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 46c | 3,790$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Warriors | 47c | 3,720$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.53 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kings | 50c | 3,572$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.66 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Kings | 53c | 3,570$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.78 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kings | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Warriors | 54c | 2,681$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.98 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 41c | 2,008$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.21 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Warriors | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 44c | 1,960$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Warriors | 46c | 1,894$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.42 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 48c | 1,817$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.92 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Warriors | 39c | 1,683$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.34 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b9…c30abacked Warriors | 10c | 1,537$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kings | 53c | 1,500$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.46 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 46c | 1,472$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.95 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Kings | 54c | 1,404$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.29 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…f29dbacked Warriors | 46c | 1,313$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Warriors | 48c | 1,299$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.7 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Kings | 55c | 1,235$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.53 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Warriors | 9c | 1,233$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warriors | 37c | 1,122$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.09 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Warriors | 46c | 1,094$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.24 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa630…2359backed Kings | 53c | 1,084$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 45c | 1,071$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Kings | 55c | 1,070$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.63 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Warriors | 49c | 1,058$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Warriors | 46c | 1,051$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.43 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Warriors | 49c | 1,018$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.04 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Kings | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kings | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.75 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Warriors | 47c | 960.45$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.41 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Warriors | 10c | 931.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kings | 71c | 910.51$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.05 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Warriors | 47c | 824$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.28 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Kings | 54c | 818.89$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.56 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Warriors | 46c | 809.88$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Warriors | 48c | 807.33$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.52 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Kings | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Kings | 64c | 665.96$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.51 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Kings | 73c | 647.04$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.75 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Kings | 74c | 643.91$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.63 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kings | 54c | 605.54$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.55 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Kings | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked Kings | 70c | 532.39$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Warriors | 23c | 500$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Warriors | 23c | 500$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Warriors | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Kings | 73c | 495.83$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Warriors | 15c | 486.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Warriors | 14c | 482$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Kings | 62c | 464.9$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.39 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Warriors | 36c | 463.22$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Warriors | 23c | 417$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Warriors | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…698bbacked Warriors | 48c | 410.19$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Warriors | 47c | 397.54$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.84 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Kings | 55c | 343.36$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.51 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…644cbacked Warriors | 49c | 336.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Kings | 51c | 329.41$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.41 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Warriors | 46c | 325.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Kings | 62c | 316.83$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Warriors | 46c | 314.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Kings | 55c | 301.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Warriors | 46c | 299.96$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Kings | 52c | 279.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Kings | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Kings | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Kings | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Kings | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Kings | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Warriors | 46c | 257.07$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kings | 48c | 249.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 46c | 240.84$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Warriors | 23c | 227$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Warriors | 25c | 225$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Warriors | 25c | 225$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Kings | 55c | 221.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 46c | 218.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Warriors | 21c | 212$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Warriors | 46c | 211.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Kings | 48c | 211.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Warriors | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Warriors | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Warriors | 47c | 204.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Warriors | 42c | 203.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Kings | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Warriors | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Warriors | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Warriors | 23c | 196.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Kings | 48c | 192.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Kings | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Kings | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Kings | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)this page
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Kings won
- Warriors vs. KingsKings won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.