NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11bcd366437abee10e936166677de05949aa6a5aca36b0fcd2880ab76df08a34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 48c | 10,584$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,503.52 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 47c | 7,583$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.91 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 5,919$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.5 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 4,820$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.5 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 4,685$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.99 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 1,784$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.98 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 48c | 1,745$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.02 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 1,393$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Under | 48c | 1,216$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.21 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 53c | 1,055$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.28 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked Over | 58c | 967.98$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 625.43$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.73 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 51c | 602.38$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 51c | 584.83$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.45 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 54c | 539.68$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.43 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 500$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.29 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 419.21$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 409.27$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.04 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 40c | 400.05$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 359.44$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 276.14$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 53c | 218.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 208.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 54c | 208.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 54c | 208.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 194.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cf…9a91backed Under | 46c | 168.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 44c | 168.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Under | 48c | 145.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 56c | 132.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 131.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 56c | 129.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 56c | 123.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Under | 49c | 111.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 105.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 97.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Under | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…e05cbacked Under | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed Over | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Over | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Over | 48c | 94.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 78.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…612fbacked Under | 49c | 78.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 52c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 54c | 57.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 59c | 55.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 52.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b2…dee8backed Under | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Over | 63c | 51.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Over | 55c | 48.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 51c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 56c | 43.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…a99fbacked Under | 55c | 42.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 49c | 38.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Under | 67c | 36.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over | 57c | 34.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 39c | 33.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 50c | 33.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa3…5f73backed Under | 59c | 32.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Under | 65c | 30.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 41c | 30.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Under | 50c | 29.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 46c | 29.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Under | 51c | 28.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 47c | 28.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…921abacked Under | 50c | 28.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Under | 56c | 27.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Over | 58c | 26.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under | 56c | 26.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Over | 46c | 24.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 55c | 22.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 54c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Over | 55c | 18.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…a62dbacked Over | 61c | 17.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5this page
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Kings won
- Warriors vs. KingsKings won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.