CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: InControl vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7e93f6870801e3bb165cce911f70f1fa073732b4c98624e04f1f74f47eaff4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- InControlof InControl, FarmVille
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c0…92d8backed InControl | 49c | 2,882$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.01 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked InControl | 57c | 2,719$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.67 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7857…bab6backed FarmVille | 36c | 2,431$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.4 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked FarmVille | 20c | 1,749$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FarmVille | 52c | 1,463$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.49 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed InControl | 53c | 1,426$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed FarmVille | 51c | 1,088$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.57 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed FarmVille | 4c | 872.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked InControl | 68c | 426.07$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed InControl | 59c | 419.34$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed FarmVille | 51c | 383.56$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed FarmVille | 51c | 319.84$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked FarmVille | 47c | 294.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…4ce4backed FarmVille | 51c | 232.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…eb9fbacked FarmVille | 51c | 224.86$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked InControl | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed InControl | 64c | 169.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed InControl | 71c | 159.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed FarmVille | 29c | 137.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked FarmVille | 51c | 135.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed FarmVille | 66c | 132.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed InControl | 47c | 123.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…49bbbacked FarmVille | 51c | 120.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked FarmVille | 51c | 111.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed FarmVille | 23c | 109$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked FarmVille | 41c | 106.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked InControl | 78c | 102.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…93e3backed FarmVille | 51c | 98.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed FarmVille | 54c | 92.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed FarmVille | 25c | 90.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed InControl | 70c | 89.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked InControl | 49c | 89.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FarmVille | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed FarmVille | 50c | 76.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed FarmVille | 51c | 72.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked InControl | 50c | 68.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked InControl | 66c | 66.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FarmVille | 39c | 62.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed FarmVille | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9033…bd50backed FarmVille | 20c | 59.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked FarmVille | 55c | 53.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed FarmVille | 48c | 50.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…6106backed InControl | 71c | 49.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed InControl | 60c | 40.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FarmVille | 39c | 38.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FarmVille | 28c | 37.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed InControl | 50c | 35.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FarmVille | 51c | 30.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked FarmVille | 46c | 27.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…d6ccbacked FarmVille | 51c | 26.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed InControl | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked FarmVille | 51c | 22.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FarmVille | 53c | 22.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed InControl | 53c | 20.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed InControl | 65c | 19.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed InControl | 60c | 18.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a74…6631backed FarmVille | 68c | 16.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: InControl vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: FV (-1.5) vs InControl (+1.5)InControl won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.