CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67080757a42bc825991539b70c49d1ff57d622aaaccff15f57fa885c71b1e9b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galorysof Galorys, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Galorys | 31c | 1,366$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.54 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed Galorys | 40c | 1,366$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.18 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Keyd | 59c | 473.1$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.67 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Keyd | 61c | 188.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…4ce4backed Keyd | 59c | 164.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Keyd | 59c | 138.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…2d9dbacked Keyd | 59c | 109.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Keyd | 61c | 86.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…c324backed Keyd | 62c | 53.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Keyd | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2650…eed9backed Keyd | 61c | 49.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Keyd | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Galorys | 42c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 PlayoffsGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerGalorys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.