CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c0eaa987d8676c5c8fdf5eb71a7c6869d3252acf7da4a5a8fc0765cc321f690
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galorysof Galorys, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Keyd | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Keyd | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed Keyd | 43c | 485.59$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.09 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Keyd | 39c | 439.11$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Galorys | 61c | 400.25$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 11c | 286.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Galorys | 56c | 189.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Galorys | 60c | 156.12$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Keyd | 39c | 129.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Keyd | 38c | 125.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Keyd | 39c | 125.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Galorys | 56c | 105.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Keyd | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Keyd | 25c | 93.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa66…e95bbacked Galorys | 73c | 60.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Keyd | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Galorys | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galorys | 74c | 30.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Galorys | 74c | 29.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked Galorys | 61c | 28.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…4679backed Galorys | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Galorys | 57c | 19.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Galorys | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerGalorys won
- Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)Galorys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.