TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91aa…4679

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$7.14
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Bbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.91
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.98
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Abacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.02
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Abacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs Abyssal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Abyssal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.02
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Chicken Coop Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.24
Counter-Strike: EMPIRE vs Team Aether (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Team Aether · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.24
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffsbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - XPortal Closed Qualifier Group Cbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$7.48
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs XI Esport (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked XI Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - XPortal Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Counter-Strike: BIG vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.74
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.11
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Carstensz (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.64
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$9.51
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Dota 2: MODUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.8
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.02
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
Dota 2: 1win vs Ivory (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$3.03
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47%+$6.91
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$6.52
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$16.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tallahassee: Clement Tabur vs Michael Mmohbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$9.01
Tallahassee: Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Alex Rybakov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$25.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.