TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
L1ga Teamof Cheeki_Breeki, L1ga Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed L1ga Team63c8,888$5,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,288.5115951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked L1ga Team61c7,712$4,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,016.824650%23 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Cheeki_Breeki37c6,134$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.073351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Cheeki_Breeki4c4,311$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.471233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-37%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Cheeki_Breeki40c3,973$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.5656852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Cheeki_Breeki37c2,553$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.9425549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed L1ga Team66c2,234$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.369754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Cheeki_Breeki38c1,926$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.245556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Cheeki_Breeki35c1,762$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.8610618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xae17…8e49backed Cheeki_Breeki39c1,713$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad63…d66fbacked Cheeki_Breeki38c1,666$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed L1ga Team58c1,648$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.6922363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c06…a1c1backed Cheeki_Breeki39c1,578$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed L1ga Team61c1,430$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.5312350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Cheeki_Breeki40c1,387$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.3844645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cheeki_Breeki31c1,358$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.657541.3%31 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb39d…7a6dbacked Cheeki_Breeki39c1,299$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Cheeki_Breeki37c1,212$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.3337223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed L1ga Team60c1,206$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.721872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Cheeki_Breeki18c998.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Cheeki_Breeki7c829.68$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.557650%38 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team63c818.94$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.731,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team61c812.2$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.182,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked L1ga Team78c812.14$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6785851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked L1ga Team60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x999b…9a18backed Cheeki_Breeki4c784.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Cheeki_Breeki39c744.32$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9924955.4%138 W · 111 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Cheeki_Breeki36c737.22$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.612748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team62c721.76$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8767043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Cheeki_Breeki38c721.31$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.881566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed L1ga Team61c699.95$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9818550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed L1ga Team69c690.6$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.091866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Cheeki_Breeki30c662.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.891,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Cheeki_Breeki30c658.51$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5524343.6%106 W · 137 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Cheeki_Breeki39c653.55$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Cheeki_Breeki34c631.7$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2770052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Cheeki_Breeki24c560.63$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.854652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked L1ga Team60c552.99$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.637231.9%23 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Cheeki_Breeki39c549.76$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.462227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Cheeki_Breeki35c547.24$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.531163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed Cheeki_Breeki37c520.11$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.441442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Cheeki_Breeki31c515.45$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.716235.5%22 W · 40 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Cheeki_Breeki38c500.1$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0419643.9%86 W · 110 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Cheeki_Breeki43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4182backed Cheeki_Breeki42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc3…70ddbacked L1ga Team56c454.26$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Cheeki_Breeki43c449.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.161850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed Cheeki_Breeki39c417.28$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7420452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Cheeki_Breeki41c374.53$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.567657.9%44 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Cheeki_Breeki18c373.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.136842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…8a14backed Cheeki_Breeki39c310.83$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Cheeki_Breeki39c310.83$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.224951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team64c279.33$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.771,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked L1ga Team63c277.96$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1125348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90fa…48f4backed L1ga Team60c276.53$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Cheeki_Breeki35c275$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8326154.8%143 W · 118 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d0…591cbacked Cheeki_Breeki43c267.81$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked L1ga Team57c266.3$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5113854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Cheeki_Breeki43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.516243.2%70 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda38…668ebacked L1ga Team80c245.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed L1ga Team60c244.62$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.854850%24 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Cheeki_Breeki40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.451550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed L1ga Team63c231.77$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.076657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed L1ga Team58c218.24$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6620350.7%103 W · 100 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed L1ga Team62c208.8$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.997349.3%36 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Cheeki_Breeki44c203.8$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6734051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Cheeki_Breeki35c203.08$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6410138.6%39 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x631f…cfb2backed Cheeki_Breeki10c200.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa6…035ebacked Cheeki_Breeki19c197.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked Cheeki_Breeki39c192.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.152751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Cheeki_Breeki40c188.73$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.183333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed L1ga Team64c183.91$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.663351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b5…029dbacked L1ga Team64c183.45$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.042157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Cheeki_Breeki33c183.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2236138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3f3…1cc4backed Cheeki_Breeki41c169.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.451540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed L1ga Team79c168.82$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4511353.1%60 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Cheeki_Breeki42c162.06$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0726050.4%131 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed L1ga Team61c160.06$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.322466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Cheeki_Breeki31c156.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.891040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Cheeki_Breeki44c136.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.288641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7f…5a1dbacked L1ga Team64c134.22$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.322166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked L1ga Team56c124.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.994820.8%10 W · 38 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-55.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team63c121.73$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.061,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Cheeki_Breeki41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.21,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team64c119.5$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.522,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x027c…08c5backed Cheeki_Breeki41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Cheeki_Breeki32c110.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7422845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed L1ga Team60c107.36$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9422752.9%120 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked L1ga Team68c107.01$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4436761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team63c104.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.491,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b6…f8c7backed L1ga Team61c103.09$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.211233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed L1ga Team63c102.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5165647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed L1ga Team65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3525639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed L1ga Team63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3732441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Cheeki_Breeki43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.55550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed L1ga Team62c97.53$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7627357.1%156 W · 117 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd93…0370backed L1ga Team63c88.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Cheeki_Breeki41c86.81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5970236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Cheeki_Breeki41c82.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7616939.6%67 W · 102 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2c5…b9b6backed L1ga Team60c81.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.532536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.