TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf3b5…029d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4862.5%30 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$47.32
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$47.25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.19
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.96
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.73
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.7
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$39.52
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$29.64
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.12
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.03
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$33.67
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$17.8
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$29.06
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.61
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$49.5
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$29.62
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$34.29
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$61.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$31.62
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$93.65
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$29.71
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.26
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$66.04
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$71.87
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.79
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.83
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.89
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.11
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.57
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.81
LoL: Maze Gaming vs Malvinas Gaming (BO5) - LRS Playoffsbacked Maze Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$12.93
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$19.29
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$18.61
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.03
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$83.11
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$35.94
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$29.2
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.48
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$63.17
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$37.88
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$40.37
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.46
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.08
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$29.59
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.22
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$89
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.44
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42.06
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$36.92
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.75
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.16
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$26.93
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.04
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.98
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$41.93
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.98
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.03
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$35.94
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.65
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.03
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$45.94
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.32
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Drake Bulldogsbacked Drake Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+27.3%+$17.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.