Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304b92ec09b501f7103b14fea08a9e277dde78ff0fe816beb94b8590c8cd5e41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Xtreme Gaming, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,306,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,333,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,306,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 605 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4ba…5777backed Xtreme Gaming | 0c | 359,498$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 142,807$68,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,545.55 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 72,611$40,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,630.73 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Spirit | 62c | 53,119$32,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,315.5 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 44c | 52,051$22,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,052.57 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 50,985$23,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,521.16 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Spirit | 66c | 38,674$25,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,257.9 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 32,335$16,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,490.75 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 20,932$11,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,722.14 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 20,407$9,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,985.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 19,939$8,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,278.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Spirit | 45c | 15,540$6,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,546.74 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 15,383$8,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,768.29 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Spirit | 45c | 13,538$6,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,445.9 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed Team Spirit | 69c | 13,521$9,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 13,333$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Spirit | 67c | 11,962$8,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,947.56 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Spirit | 46c | 11,826$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,386.04 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Team Spirit | 44c | 11,610$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,501.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Spirit | 44c | 11,095$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,213.18 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 10,321$4,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,779.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 44c | 9,992$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,605.18 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Spirit | 49c | 9,923$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.73 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 9,504$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,673.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit | 43c | 9,029$3,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,183.59 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…047fbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…893bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 8,868$4,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Team Spirit | 44c | 8,575$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Team Spirit | 69c | 7,831$5,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 7,770$4,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.03 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 7,587$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.09 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 7,001$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.57 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 6,894$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.52 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 6,769$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,728.92 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…5cb1backed Team Spirit | 63c | 6,730$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.09 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 6,566$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.63 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…5947backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 6,067$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Spirit | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed Team Spirit | 45c | 5,946$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.41 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 5,890$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.37 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Team Spirit | 48c | 5,875$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.07 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 5,155$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Spirit | 45c | 4,916$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.86 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Team Spirit | 47c | 4,444$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 69c | 4,085$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.32 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…9b41backed Team Spirit | 69c | 4,007$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.98 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb317…4704backed Team Spirit | 44c | 3,958$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 3,956$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.65 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…3696backed Team Spirit | 44c | 3,933$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…76d6backed Team Spirit | 44c | 3,763$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 3,705$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.79 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…d77abacked Team Spirit | 44c | 3,663$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,597$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.41 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 3,533$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.73 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…b58fbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 3,487$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.73 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Spirit | 45c | 3,480$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.46 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…5698backed Team Spirit | 44c | 3,472$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 3,459$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 3,425$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.28 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 3,382$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.14 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x805e…a098backed Team Spirit | 44c | 3,332$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 3,145$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.87 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 3,128$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 3,089$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.4 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 3,043$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.82 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Spirit | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Spirit | 62c | 3,000$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.17 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 3,000$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 2,983$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.39 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271c…6a19backed Team Spirit | 44c | 2,965$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 2,949$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.29 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 49c | 2,933$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.12 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 51c | 2,929$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.74 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 2,916$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.48 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…aed5backed Team Spirit | 44c | 2,844$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 2,706$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.75 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Spirit | 45c | 2,616$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.53 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…2160backed Team Spirit | 44c | 2,567$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…ea16backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,533$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 2,518$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,357$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.66 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Team Spirit | 44c | 2,298$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 2,269$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.61 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…4841backed Team Spirit | 57c | 2,222$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 2,219$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 2,208$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.39 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 2,153$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.26 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 2,139$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.2 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…0619backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,121$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Spirit | 45c | 2,004$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.34 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Team Spirit | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,997$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,994$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.75 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…fbe9backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,958$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 1,920$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.5 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 1,914$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.86 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,834$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.