MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59b7efc58b1e8372206a21cc6b138c9b810205bb6867486476e1048a4da916cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $501,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $542,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 76,984$35,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,412.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 64,721$29,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,124.57 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked New York Mets | 54c | 55,556$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,555.56 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 54c | 48,000$26,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,929.91 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed New York Mets | 55c | 38,999$21,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,549.33 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets | 55c | 29,190$16,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,135.5 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Mets | 55c | 18,169$10,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,156.93 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 18,147$7,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,108.57 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked New York Mets | 54c | 12,140$6,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,584.46 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Francisco Giants | 23c | 9,468$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.04 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed New York Mets | 56c | 8,892$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.45 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Francisco Giants | 2c | 8,566$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.19 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 6,541$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.2 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 0c | 5,851$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 5,359$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.79 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed New York Mets | 55c | 5,352$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…9640backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 5,256$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…188fbacked New York Mets | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked New York Mets | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 4,838$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 4,669$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.71 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants | 19c | 4,569$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.67 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed New York Mets | 55c | 4,460$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.95 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed New York Mets | 55c | 4,440$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.19 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 4,207$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.2 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 4,125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 55c | 3,798$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.21 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 3,566$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.55 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 3,531$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.96 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed New York Mets | 75c | 3,108$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.15 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 2,893$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked New York Mets | 55c | 2,846$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.65 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed San Francisco Giants | 11c | 2,295$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.38 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Mets | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.12 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 2,185$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.44 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed New York Mets | 55c | 2,024$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.73 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 2,020$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.8 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,999$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.34 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked San Francisco Giants | 24c | 1,988$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Mets | 76c | 1,986$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.83 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 1,948$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.35 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,909$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.2 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,820$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,767$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.29 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 1,690$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,625$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 1,563$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 20c | 1,470$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,463$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.53 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 1,439$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 70c | 1,290$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.49 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed New York Mets | 70c | 1,290$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.49 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…a9cfbacked New York Mets | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 1,167$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.09 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked San Francisco Giants | 25c | 1,156$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.64 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked New York Mets | 55c | 1,132$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 1,104$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed New York Mets | 70c | 1,052$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.34 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.8 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked New York Mets | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 841.39$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…383fbacked San Francisco Giants | 2c | 821.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Mets | 65c | 770.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.46 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed New York Mets | 79c | 760$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 756.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Mets | 76c | 722.61$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.09 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 711.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed New York Mets | 73c | 675.52$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…3624backed New York Mets | 74c | 665.14$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…c044backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 639.51$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…bfebbacked San Francisco Giants | 5c | 602.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 18c | 601.74$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Mets | 55c | 600$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked San Francisco Giants | 24c | 596.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…e3d9backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 591.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 580.56$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…0a8cbacked New York Mets | 55c | 574.21$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 527.13$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked New York Mets | 77c | 518.66$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed New York Mets | 77c | 518.66$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants | 11c | 512.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed New York Mets | 55c | 486.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed New York Mets | 55c | 486.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 483.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Mets | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 60c | 440.04$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…335bbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 437.52$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 431.21$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 426.71$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.29 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed New York Mets | 55c | 408.66$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.9 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked New York Mets | 73c | 404.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked New York Mets | 76c | 389.05$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets | 76c | 367.57$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed New York Mets | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-5.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.