TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Metsof New York Mets, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$501,832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$542,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,832 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked San Francisco Giants46c76,984$35,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,412.641346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked San Francisco Giants45c64,721$29,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,124.5741149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked New York Mets54c55,556$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,555.567441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets54c48,000$26,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,929.9177053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed New York Mets55c38,999$21,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,549.3355053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets55c29,190$16,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,135.522047.7%105 W · 115 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked New York Mets55c18,169$10,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,156.931,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked San Francisco Giants39c18,147$7,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,108.5721656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked New York Mets54c12,140$6,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,584.461,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed San Francisco Giants45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-63.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked San Francisco Giants23c9,468$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.0465050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed San Francisco Giants45c9,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05047953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed New York Mets56c8,892$4,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.458247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed San Francisco Giants2c8,566$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.191,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed San Francisco Giants26c6,541$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.213534.1%46 W · 89 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked San Francisco Giants45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7005743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants0c5,851$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.322,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants45c5,359$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.791,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed New York Mets55c5,352$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.175149%25 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd81…9640backed San Francisco Giants46c5,256$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3522…188fbacked New York Mets55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked New York Mets54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.991,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants25c4,838$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.236,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed San Francisco Giants6c4,669$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.716513.8%9 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants19c4,569$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.671,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed New York Mets55c4,460$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.956446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed New York Mets55c4,440$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.196752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked San Francisco Giants46c4,207$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.27350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed San Francisco Giants1c4,125$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.179021.1%19 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets55c3,798$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.211,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants40c3,566$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.552,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed San Francisco Giants46c3,531$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.964447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed New York Mets75c3,108$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.152365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed San Francisco Giants1c2,893$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8940629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked New York Mets55c2,846$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.6511125.2%28 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed San Francisco Giants11c2,295$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.386437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Mets54c2,222$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.1267250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed San Francisco Giants45c2,185$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.444944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed New York Mets55c2,024$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.7313254.5%72 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed San Francisco Giants44c2,020$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.85339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed New York Mets55c1,999$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.3416547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked San Francisco Giants24c1,988$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Mets76c1,986$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.8317768.9%122 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Francisco Giants17c1,948$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.351,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed New York Mets55c1,909$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.211749.6%58 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked San Francisco Giants45c1,820$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8197554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed New York Mets55c1,767$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.2926245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed San Francisco Giants4c1,690$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2727213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets54c1,625$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.51,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants22c1,563$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.379,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants20c1,470$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed New York Mets55c1,463$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.534443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e25…043ebacked San Francisco Giants46c1,439$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets70c1,290$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.491,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed New York Mets70c1,290$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.4915753.5%84 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e1…a9cfbacked New York Mets54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5521338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants24c1,167$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.091,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked San Francisco Giants25c1,156$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.649219.6%18 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked New York Mets55c1,132$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.52152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants28c1,104$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.496,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed New York Mets70c1,052$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3439351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed San Francisco Giants46c1,052$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.832742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked San Francisco Giants46c967.6$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.15435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked New York Mets55c884.55$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.052638.5%10 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked San Francisco Giants46c841.39$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0432350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x250b…383fbacked San Francisco Giants2c821.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.331070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed New York Mets65c770.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.461,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed New York Mets79c760$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4319452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f55…4213backed San Francisco Giants5c756.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.541353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Mets76c722.61$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0960941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked San Francisco Giants3c711.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.312924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed New York Mets73c675.52$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6228646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9c…3624backed New York Mets74c665.14$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…c044backed San Francisco Giants45c639.51$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc80…bfebbacked San Francisco Giants5c602.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants18c601.74$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed New York Mets55c600$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2731,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed San Francisco Giants45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked San Francisco Giants24c596.07$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6118239.6%72 W · 110 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x669b…e3d9backed San Francisco Giants4c591.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Francisco Giants46c580.56$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0627552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf85f…0a8cbacked New York Mets55c574.21$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.151850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed San Francisco Giants44c527.13$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9410451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked New York Mets77c518.66$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0345246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed New York Mets77c518.66$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0325349.4%125 W · 128 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants11c512.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8170735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed New York Mets55c486.5$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.924852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed New York Mets55c486.5$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9218649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed San Francisco Giants46c483.8$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5511744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Mets55c442.27$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.021,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets60c440.04$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.655,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47de…335bbacked San Francisco Giants46c437.52$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf21…2ed8backed San Francisco Giants46c431.21$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.367153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked San Francisco Giants46c426.71$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2950751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed New York Mets55c408.66$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.912154.5%66 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked New York Mets73c404.3$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1681257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked New York Mets76c389.05$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.37785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets76c367.57$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.221,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed New York Mets56c347.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9938353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.