Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f151f5c38dc04254dbe81c681598657000ee0fcc219ebc4b95f09c05df02323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PlayTime | 73c | 6,817$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.9 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked 1win | 28c | 4,990$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,592.15 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 40c | 2,848$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.8 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 1win | 25c | 2,360$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.66 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 53c | 2,181$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.57 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked 1win | 55c | 2,178$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.52 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked 1win | 67c | 2,090$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.49 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PlayTime | 71c | 1,937$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.05 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed 1win | 55c | 1,731$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.22 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed PlayTime | 49c | 1,677$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.94 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed PlayTime | 49c | 1,641$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked PlayTime | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked PlayTime | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 1win | 53c | 1,327$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.05 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…0011backed 1win | 27c | 1,300$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked PlayTime | 49c | 1,272$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.94 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 1win | 51c | 1,271$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.79 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…f476backed PlayTime | 39c | 1,253$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed PlayTime | 8c | 1,098$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 1win | 66c | 1,031$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.04 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed PlayTime | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed PlayTime | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked PlayTime | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked 1win | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 1win | 52c | 999.98$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked PlayTime | 71c | 999.23$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.45 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PlayTime | 47c | 996.77$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PlayTime | 76c | 993.04$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.12 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked 1win | 23c | 991.43$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.43 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked 1win | 62c | 975.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.77 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed 1win | 27c | 972.82$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +76%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1win | 52c | 965.21$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.03 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PlayTime | 34c | 948.48$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.04 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime | 64c | 941.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 30c | 924.62$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.39 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked PlayTime | 69c | 900$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -10.4wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…af0dbacked 1win | 27c | 853.72$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed 1win | 57c | 799.99$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.88 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 1win | 55c | 799.99$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.19 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…06d7backed 1win | 27c | 712.06$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +131%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb749…984fbacked PlayTime | 73c | 700$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed PlayTime | 73c | 686$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.78 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PlayTime | 77c | 649.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.49 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed PlayTime | 78c | 631.01$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.73 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed PlayTime | 73c | 600$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked PlayTime | 6c | 571$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed PlayTime | 44c | 561.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked 1win | 59c | 532$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked PlayTime | 35c | 523.87$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.21 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…1e41backed 1win | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PlayTime | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed 1win | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4182backed 1win | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…9941backed 1win | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PlayTime | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PlayTime | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PlayTime | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked 1win | 61c | 473.23$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.93 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 11c | 470.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed PlayTime | 77c | 457.71$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.44 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked PlayTime | 6c | 418$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed PlayTime | 55c | 409.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked 1win | 28c | 405.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.24 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed PlayTime | 4c | 400.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed PlayTime | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed PlayTime | 46c | 400$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed PlayTime | 32c | 381$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed 1win | 58c | 375$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked 1win | 69c | 356$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1win | 57c | 351.27$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PlayTime | 19c | 349.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed 1win | 25c | 334.42$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked PlayTime | 37c | 317.58$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed PlayTime | 44c | 308.79$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.07 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 57c | 300.95$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed PlayTime | 71c | 282.84$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.52 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed PlayTime | 68c | 277.44$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed 1win | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.23 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed 1win | 75c | 269.1$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1win | 49c | 264.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked PlayTime | 40c | 255.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked PlayTime | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed PlayTime | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed 1win | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed 1win | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked PlayTime | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 24c | 249.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.01 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…a146backed 1win | 28c | 231.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.7 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed 1win | 28c | 230$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed PlayTime | 61c | 228.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836c…acffbacked 1win | 29c | 228.7$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed PlayTime | 42c | 221.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked PlayTime | 48c | 220.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed PlayTime | 50c | 216.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 25c | 215$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 50c | 208.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked PlayTime | 49c | 200.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked 1win | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked 1win | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)1win won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.