Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb7223369d9fa498b294b3a605bdf6bb0d318da374ca9bfb6b0bad5aa2dbec4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PlayTime | 66c | 38,304$25,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,143.89 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 66c | 15,235$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 39c | 13,337$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.6 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked PlayTime | 51c | 9,794$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010.31 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked 1win | 34c | 9,377$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,194.1 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 1win | 47c | 8,738$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.68 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 34c | 6,270$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.05 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed 1win | 63c | 5,814$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.49 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 34c | 5,500$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,634.71 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PlayTime | 68c | 5,250$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.48 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PlayTime | 58c | 4,750$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.27 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked 1win | 45c | 4,008$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.96 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked 1win | 57c | 3,259$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.3 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed 1win | 33c | 3,245$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.91 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed PlayTime | 68c | 3,155$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.41 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 1win | 63c | 3,041$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.1 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PlayTime | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed 1win | 42c | 2,966$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.32 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed 1win | 68c | 2,768$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.67 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 1win | 54c | 2,757$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.75 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 37c | 2,634$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.89 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 33c | 2,488$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.71 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 48c | 2,407$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.69 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed 1win | 43c | 2,365$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.14 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 57c | 2,309$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.15 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked 1win | 34c | 2,181$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.44 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PlayTime | 37c | 2,158$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.35 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed 1win | 46c | 2,050$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.5 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed 1win | 33c | 1,808$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.35 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 1win | 34c | 1,778$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.57 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 1win | 32c | 1,627$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.93 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed 1win | 49c | 1,605$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.56 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed 1win | 32c | 1,579$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 33c | 1,433$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.54 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked 1win | 36c | 1,390$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.6 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked 1win | 59c | 1,382$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.81 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked 1win | 37c | 1,350$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.5 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1win | 38c | 1,338$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.01 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed 1win | 33c | 1,223$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.65 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 36c | 1,219$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.45 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed 1win | 46c | 1,213$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.02 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PlayTime | 66c | 1,172$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.04 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked PlayTime | 50c | 1,018$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.99 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PlayTime | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked 1win | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.34 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 41c | 999.01$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.6 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 1win | 38c | 923.54$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.77 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 64c | 804.99$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.59 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PlayTime | 66c | 799.98$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed 1win | 50c | 775.09$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.91 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 62c | 753.67$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.54 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed PlayTime | 52c | 735.26$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.34 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed 1win | 37c | 681.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.56 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PlayTime | 61c | 663.85$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.95 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked PlayTime | 67c | 616.42$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked PlayTime | 67c | 608.9$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.45 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 40c | 583.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.46 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked 1win | 78c | 565.56$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.11 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PlayTime | 48c | 559.82$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.87 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed 1win | 47c | 500.77$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.81 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed 1win | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…73e0backed PlayTime | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PlayTime | 64c | 473.88$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed PlayTime | 78c | 447.93$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.74 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PlayTime | 62c | 444.79$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.63 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 1win | 32c | 431$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08de…a0fdbacked PlayTime | 47c | 425.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PlayTime | 69c | 424.96$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed PlayTime | 50c | 402$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed PlayTime | 50c | 400.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PlayTime | 60c | 389$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1win | 43c | 372.65$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.64 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…f45fbacked PlayTime | 68c | 372.61$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed 1win | 55c | 359.01$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.01 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked PlayTime | 54c | 350.78$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.42 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed 1win | 52c | 350.01$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.12 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PlayTime | 26c | 350$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed 1win | 35c | 348.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.71 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1win | 52c | 348.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.29 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed PlayTime | 71c | 346.18$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed PlayTime | 59c | 336.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed 1win | 37c | 330$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked PlayTime | 75c | 328.2$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.59 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime | 63c | 318.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked 1win | 54c | 307.67$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.53 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed PlayTime | 33c | 307.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked PlayTime | 56c | 305$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed 1win | 44c | 304$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed 1win | 54c | 300.3$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.14 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed 1win | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked 1win | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed PlayTime | 67c | 297.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed 1win | 32c | 290.07$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.29 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked 1win | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked 1win | 34c | 268$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked PlayTime | 75c | 259.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 35c | 255.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.26 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 1win | 45c | 253$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.67 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PlayTime | 63c | 250$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.74 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)1win won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.