Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe791fa1f097beefb2693dd3bea520587e2fd7dba8bd2f33079a0a4332c70007c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 63c | 33,040$20,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,774.96 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed 1win | 37c | 12,275$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,733.22 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 37c | 6,598$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.94 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed 1win | 33c | 3,100$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.99 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed 1win | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.99 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 1win | 48c | 2,902$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.28 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PlayTime | 27c | 2,643$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.03 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked 1win | 39c | 2,160$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.98 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed 1win | 47c | 2,001$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.66 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked 1win | 78c | 1,692$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.43 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PlayTime | 60c | 1,620$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 22c | 1,600$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed 1win | 69c | 1,575$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.69 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed 1win | 37c | 1,487$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.89 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed 1win | 36c | 1,438$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.06 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked 1win | 42c | 1,175$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.47 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 1win | 29c | 1,145$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.07 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 1win | 43c | 1,088$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.16 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed 1win | 64c | 982.8$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.59 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PlayTime | 65c | 950$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.5 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PlayTime | 56c | 793.03$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.51 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed 1win | 31c | 789.07$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.46 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed 1win | 55c | 719$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 49c | 651.82$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PlayTime | 44c | 650$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed PlayTime | 51c | 609.15$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.57 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked 1win | 34c | 589.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 41c | 586.5$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.24 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed PlayTime | 36c | 558.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed 1win | 39c | 550$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.5 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked PlayTime | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -10.4wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed PlayTime | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed PlayTime | 48c | 500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.76 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked 1win | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PlayTime | 50c | 480$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked PlayTime | 60c | 479.4$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.64 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PlayTime | 59c | 458.28$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked 1win | 70c | 457.48$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed 1win | 44c | 456.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.58 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 56c | 442.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked 1win | 69c | 434.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked 1win | 41c | 430.84$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked PlayTime | 56c | 390.15$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.45 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08de…a0fdbacked 1win | 74c | 386.41$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked 1win | 34c | 385.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.94 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed PlayTime | 65c | 383.46$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed PlayTime | 62c | 369$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.29 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed 1win | 55c | 368.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.81 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PlayTime | 50c | 359.78$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.89 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed PlayTime | 67c | 343.69$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.34 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked 1win | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed PlayTime | 45c | 290.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9662…af06backed 1win | 75c | 260$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked PlayTime | 56c | 253.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PlayTime | 47c | 250.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked PlayTime | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PlayTime | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked PlayTime | 50c | 249.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked 1win | 34c | 242.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…c4c3backed 1win | 51c | 235.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked 1win | 46c | 216.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.91 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PlayTime | 15c | 216$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked PlayTime | 60c | 202.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…65c7backed PlayTime | 47c | 200.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked 1win | 65c | 200.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed 1win | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed 1win | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1win | 43c | 194.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime | 28c | 193.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PlayTime | 60c | 189.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked PlayTime | 49c | 188.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed 1win | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed PlayTime | 61c | 163.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked 1win | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1win | 44c | 146.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed 1win | 42c | 141.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed 1win | 35c | 141.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8875…7548backed 1win | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed 1win | 45c | 128$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked PlayTime | 36c | 117.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PlayTime | 39c | 116.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed PlayTime | 60c | 116$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…7161backed 1win | 33c | 115.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed PlayTime | 43c | 110.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed PlayTime | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked 1win | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked 1win | 63c | 97.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed PlayTime | 67c | 94.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked PlayTime | 31c | 94.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed PlayTime | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed PlayTime | 62c | 89.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…a4edbacked PlayTime | 47c | 89.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…d903backed PlayTime | 34c | 88.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked 1win | 51c | 88.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed PlayTime | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked PlayTime | 61c | 81.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed PlayTime | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)1win won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.