TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa1a1…65c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.25
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$20.21
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.03
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.32
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$178.48
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$53.07
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$18.28
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 4 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$87.6
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$71.46
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
First Blood in Game 1?backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-77.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.85
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.36
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.62
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.37
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Favbet (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39.43
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$100.44
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.91
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 3 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.62
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$44.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.75
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42%+$140.33
Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Kozyreva/Panova vs Bucsa/Melicharbacked Bucsa/Melichar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.