TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of TheMongolz, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,522 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5faf…1183backed TheMongolz43c10,000$4,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,277.8510935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked B849c6,750$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450.9325655.5%142 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz44c4,651$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.5687847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked B875c4,405$3,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.1822468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz37c3,526$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.141,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz28c3,336$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.142,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed B850c3,198$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.856,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked B833c3,071$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.556464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked B848c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5607454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed B843c2,511$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.581,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed TheMongolz55c2,382$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.6239468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed TheMongolz47c1,954$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.0843544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TheMongolz62c1,613$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.981,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed TheMongolz68c1,463$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.8711061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked TheMongolz25c1,436$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.589232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed TheMongolz46c1,092$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a7…75e2backed B879c1,010$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.84988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed TheMongolz56c994.32$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.2762350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed B842c963.79$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.794546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed B839c955$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.0455232.4%179 W · 373 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed TheMongolz53c937.7$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017754.8%97 W · 80 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked TheMongolz34c824.88$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7119857.6%114 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked TheMongolz62c809.26$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed TheMongolz39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31246749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked B851c791.37$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9915153.6%81 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked B848c780.9$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.91,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked TheMongolz35c742.91$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.232548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed B838c740.18$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.6134146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed TheMongolz53c693$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8146246.8%216 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed TheMongolz20c668.03$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6157422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz55c656$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.173,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed B835c649.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.9959841.3%247 W · 351 L-20.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked B848c627.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.6513850%69 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz52c627$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.245,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed TheMongolz51c592.16$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked B852c559.8$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.394,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked TheMongolz54c555.2$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed TheMongolz48c538.77$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.721,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked B853c507.66$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.395,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed TheMongolz69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34518056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0275…d186backed TheMongolz20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005058%29 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz47c491.79$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.412,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed TheMongolz45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed B845c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4415632.7%51 W · 105 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed B846c435.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4326251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed B850c432.66$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.7468172.2%492 W · 189 L+120.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz54c430.54$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.224,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed TheMongolz69c423$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.8742751.5%220 W · 207 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed TheMongolz56c413$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2861834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked B829c401.48$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.3428443.7%124 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked TheMongolz37c400$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14621741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked TheMongolz26c381.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027851.4%143 W · 135 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked B842c364.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.272,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked TheMongolz63c348.84$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22046565.6%305 W · 160 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked TheMongolz53c342.64$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010938.5%42 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed B852c330.28$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8416347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TheMongolz43c303.51$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.894,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed B845c299$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9345439.6%180 W · 274 L+1.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked B854c291.53$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.772,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed B838c287.24$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0953945.5%245 W · 294 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked TheMongolz58c275.48$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7840140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked TheMongolz59c254.66$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15110855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked TheMongolz63c250$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1578664%55 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43f2…6fc2backed B838c248.58$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.122352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed TheMongolz39c240$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5610133.7%34 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked TheMongolz63c226.49$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7745162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed B845c221.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1427657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed TheMongolz38c202.58$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7614037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7c…c4c5backed TheMongolz52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed B840c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked TheMongolz58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11653859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed TheMongolz41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8214545.5%66 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed TheMongolz38c200$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7533241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed B872c200$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3115373.2%112 W · 41 L+18.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed B815c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17041645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed B847c191.8$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.652,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed TheMongolz44c190$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.839258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked B845c176.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.741,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed TheMongolz39c170$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.862938.3%241 W · 388 L-17.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed TheMongolz61c165.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2727459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked B842c162.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5912839.8%51 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed TheMongolz62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked TheMongolz62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked TheMongolz32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.419459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e81…cd1cbacked TheMongolz52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed TheMongolz63c159.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013568.9%93 W · 42 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed TheMongolz62c157.24$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4916650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed TheMongolz70c155.36$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.82,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed TheMongolz65c153.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked TheMongolz28c150.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0323037.8%87 W · 143 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed TheMongolz34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5118432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed TheMongolz34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5164439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked B851c146.17$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8737140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked TheMongolz65c146.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9514037.9%53 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed B839c143.97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9426245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed B842c142.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.67540%30 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed TheMongolz19c140$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.110040%40 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed B842c139.05$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7335147.9%168 W · 183 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4833…17d5backed B818c138.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.897622.4%17 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed B838c136.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.412,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.