CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3d633dcb973b9d56b6386551263c0411ccc7c8ba585a880404731ce0497fffe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of TheMongolz, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed B8 | 59c | 3,914$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.31 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed TheMongolz | 41c | 2,676$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed B8 | 56c | 499.73$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.88 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz | 44c | 477$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked B8 | 48c | 472.29$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.73 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed B8 | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked TheMongolz | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 367 | 53.7%197 W · 170 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed TheMongolz | 55c | 361.68$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed TheMongolz | 41c | 299$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 358 | 48%172 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed TheMongolz | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed TheMongolz | 46c | 215.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked TheMongolz | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed B8 | 60c | 149.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed B8 | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 125.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed B8 | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked B8 | 68c | 94.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed TheMongolz | 38c | 84.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed B8 | 58c | 80.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…386fbacked TheMongolz | 27c | 69.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked TheMongolz | 44c | 67.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed B8 | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed B8 | 50c | 55.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed TheMongolz | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 236 | 56.4%133 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…1528backed TheMongolz | 42c | 46.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed B8 | 60c | 42.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 265 | 44.2%117 W · 148 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed B8 | 56c | 33.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…88abbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 30.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed B8 | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed B8 | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed TheMongolz | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed B8 | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BB8 won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.