TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of TheMongolz, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$824,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$900,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $824,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 691 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked B831c30,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,699.975652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked TheMongolz68c25,022$17,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,038.8236453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47b3…039cbacked TheMongolz54c21,212$11,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,463.365742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed B843c20,168$8,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,505.7723848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed TheMongolz65c19,999$13,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,066.0133343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3936…366dbacked TheMongolz64c19,542$12,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,509.932944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked TheMongolz67c18,923$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,7506464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked B832c18,237$5,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,418.4416245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed B833c15,136$5,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,072.521048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed TheMongolz56c15,000$8,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,331.3510935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked TheMongolz58c14,091$8,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,241.719757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed B841c14,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed B848c13,458$6,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,990.6764552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed B853c12,116$6,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,726.3281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked TheMongolz62c11,461$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,10027751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked TheMongolz64c10,860$6,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,983.658258.5%48 W · 34 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed TheMongolz68c10,059$6,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,879.9750054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked TheMongolz68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.9938358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x888b…5d1abacked TheMongolz48c9,396$4,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,511.522626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed TheMongolz59c8,396$4,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,922.9137646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed B841c8,172$3,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,816.7766851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed B833c8,086$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,448.5446149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked B840c8,077$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,860.642,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked B833c8,000$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,379.9411249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked B834c7,593$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,029.9869624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked B832c7,500$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9517853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed B845c7,308$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,052.256,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed TheMongolz69c7,246$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked B853c7,134$3,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.681,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed TheMongolz51c7,059$3,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,627.0130340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed TheMongolz68c6,904$4,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,719.0215947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed TheMongolz66c6,844$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed B842c6,800$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,939.0160248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked TheMongolz46c6,720$3,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,091.26947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed TheMongolz68c5,793$3,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,922.312449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed B849c5,535$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.7587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked B843c5,415$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,103.863157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B846c5,227$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.351,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed B846c5,108$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.9241649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed TheMongolz69c5,048$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,483.1120743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed B831c5,001$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450.6978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed TheMongolz46c4,928$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,26741847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed B854c4,480$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.8510850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed B839c4,441$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.5225747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed B834c4,251$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.664542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked B846c3,895$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.232,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed B830c3,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45011434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked B836c3,358$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.7952837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked B867c3,330$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.8941040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8f…20abbacked B846c3,317$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.983557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd633…8c3fbacked TheMongolz75c3,308$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked B834c3,301$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.161,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked TheMongolz68c3,100$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10821251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked TheMongolz49c3,081$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x845a…c09bbacked TheMongolz46c3,076$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.161060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed TheMongolz64c3,064$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.8788330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked B844c3,038$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.623,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked B850c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked B833c2,955$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.121522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked B842c2,800$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.223,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed TheMongolz51c2,724$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.514839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed B837c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.711061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked B837c2,641$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.487441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked TheMongolz58c2,604$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.463759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed TheMongolz52c2,563$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.2360848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked TheMongolz64c2,500$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.991,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed B838c2,420$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.8541850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed B831c2,367$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.911,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed TheMongolz67c2,325$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.8820448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed B843c2,256$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.791,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…6fc2backed TheMongolz46c2,250$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0352352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked TheMongolz47c2,211$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.9366446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed B832c2,188$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.54546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked B835c2,145$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.0320041.5%83 W · 117 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed B832c2,039$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.5738835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz46c2,012$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.692,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked TheMongolz39c2,012$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.964,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed B832c2,003$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.5855236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed B832c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed B835c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30055738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz66c1,974$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.461,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed TheMongolz72c1,876$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.957166.2%47 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked B840c1,772$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.5353545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed B827c1,760$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.3322358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked B841c1,760$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.0598052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b54…76eabacked B833c1,741$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.82933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed B839c1,700$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0411,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed B869c1,694$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52112353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked TheMongolz61c1,683$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.9616355.8%91 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked TheMongolz64c1,561$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00046165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8d…24dfbacked B869c1,539$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.32152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed B837c1,529$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.216544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed TheMongolz68c1,510$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.824339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed TheMongolz66c1,506$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed B832c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02020249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed B833c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0053250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed B830c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.992,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed B831c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.9924935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed TheMongolz55c1,496$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.7513548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked TheMongolz59c1,482$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.7628443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.