TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Nigma Galaxy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team71c30,071$21,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,570.611,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked BetBoom Team69c12,500$8,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,82519847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy32c8,498$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7601,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy29c8,250$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.1580256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed Nigma Galaxy28c8,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick41cpaid-83.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy28c7,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy9c6,258$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.761,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy29c3,827$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.691,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy20c3,043$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.791,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed BetBoom Team70c3,026$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.2924153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Nigma Galaxy16c2,547$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5750347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BetBoom Team69c2,251$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.8629348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy29c2,222$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.8981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BetBoom Team70c2,009$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.8956955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked BetBoom Team72c2,000$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56534544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60056542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad4d…dd89backed Nigma Galaxy11c1,980$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.77736.4%28 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy32c1,909$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.8837945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy29c1,823$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.31,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy29c1,747$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.651,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy30c1,389$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7765441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Nigma Galaxy22c1,328$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.6837655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy29c1,326$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.511,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BetBoom Team71c1,195$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.151,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy32c1,141$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0961456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9c…b01cbacked Nigma Galaxy26c1,021$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.377034.3%24 W · 46 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7096245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Nigma Galaxy27c974$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6488166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy19c971.76$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9857449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy19c935.4$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1971454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy9c907.18$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.362,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Nigma Galaxy32c900$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28860552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team77c838$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.741,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy22c766$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.771,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team72c719.37$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.752,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Nigma Galaxy16c701.34$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.268540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed Nigma Galaxy33c594.64$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.095850%29 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed Nigma Galaxy30c551.51$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.578439.3%33 W · 51 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy28c505.88$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.641,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Nigma Galaxy31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15514454.2%78 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43dc…86e1backed Nigma Galaxy32c475.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024244.6%108 W · 134 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c27…cb5bbacked BetBoom Team70c443.2$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.968469%58 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked BetBoom Team72c408.75$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4513851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed BetBoom Team72c408.75$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4535151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Nigma Galaxy24c408.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9848843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Nigma Galaxy29c403.4$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0640534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed BetBoom Team72c346.18$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9322363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Nigma Galaxy9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308726.4%23 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Nigma Galaxy20c310.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3737223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Nigma Galaxy30c284.77$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1216242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Nigma Galaxy5c250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.518143.6%79 W · 102 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f9…3c97backed Nigma Galaxy12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8554058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Nigma Galaxy22c231.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8221540.9%88 W · 127 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45b6…70b9backed Nigma Galaxy18c205.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367817.9%14 W · 64 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-57.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Nigma Galaxy14c201.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1727636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe584…9bb3backed BetBoom Team69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed BetBoom Team71c190.01$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.158356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9e…7928backed Nigma Galaxy9c187$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.72937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Nigma Galaxy19c182.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1316839.9%67 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy30c175$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.021,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a1…65c7backed Nigma Galaxy30c165.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Nigma Galaxy29c150$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4324041.3%99 W · 141 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked BetBoom Team72c143.47$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8639550.1%198 W · 197 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed BetBoom Team72c140.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4841050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Nigma Galaxy29c140$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.658250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91a8…2db7backed BetBoom Team71c140$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.935675%42 W · 14 L+8.3wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nigma Galaxy28c136$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6953139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Nigma Galaxy27c112$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.263033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Nigma Galaxy29c110$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.970236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Nigma Galaxy22c104.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7827952.3%146 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Nigma Galaxy29c101.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.386743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nigma Galaxy29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2979341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Nigma Galaxy18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1853634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Nigma Galaxy31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030255.3%167 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked BetBoom Team68c94.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3544149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Nigma Galaxy30c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720738.6%80 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed Nigma Galaxy30c68.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4638244.5%170 W · 212 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy29c50.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.641,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Nigma Galaxy29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.530834.1%105 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed BetBoom Team72c43.06$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0615068%102 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x643c…3fc2backed Nigma Galaxy30c42.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+145.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed BetBoom Team68c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.282751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed BetBoom Team69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7517338.7%67 W · 106 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed BetBoom Team70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.592561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2b7…d4f5backed BetBoom Team71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.133834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BetBoom Team80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.677256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4135…185fbacked BetBoom Team70c14.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.297054.3%38 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.