TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x643c…3fc2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
320
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+777.2%+$103.66
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$80.96
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.4
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$18.75
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$63.69
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$91.26
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$308.47
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.99
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,539
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$39
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.29
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$208.6
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Austria to score first vs. Jordan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Jordan to score first vs. Austria?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.34
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$22.04
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$54.65
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.09
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,535Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,365
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.62
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$978.3
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$14,610.9
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$7,018Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+339.2%+$23,807.56
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$93.92
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$6,090.91
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.39
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.17
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.92
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.73
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.96
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.83
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.59
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$61.51
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.24
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.07
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.79
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$165.87
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will the Houston Rockets win more than 52.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.13
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$30.87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$28.37
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.64
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$41.61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.72
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$7.96
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$4.18
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.66
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$39.37
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$21.66
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+143%+$40.82
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Nottingham 2: Christopher O'Connell vs Jay Clarkebacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
Poznan: Petr Brunclik vs Florian Broskabacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$53.52
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.49
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoianabacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$44.08
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.53
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierrabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.66
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.54
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damasbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.07
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Bartonbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.21
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wangbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.15
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.85
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensikbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$19.75
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Taiyo Yamanakabacked Sasikumar Mukund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.67
Istanbul: Mert Alkaya vs Georgii Kravchenkobacked Georgii Kravchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Koprivabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.86
Abidjan 2: Karim Bennani vs Karan Singhbacked Karan Singh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$32.19
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.05
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$20.51
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.68
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.52
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.1
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.34
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.6
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$16.49
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.32
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.1
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.88
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$167.74
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$4,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,730.06
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.79
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$21.8
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.89
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+589.7%+$101.75
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+1,011.7%+$394.05
Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.07
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Will Do Jong-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.26
Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Will Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.64
Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$78.36
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$65.71
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lionsbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.18
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.58
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.15
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.78
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$21.99
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.01
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.83
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.39
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.67
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.31
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+254.6%+$91.18
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.38
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.57
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.65
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.28
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.84
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.13
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.66
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.72
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.71
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.72
Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.8
Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$21.23
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.48
Will the New York Islanders make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.16
Will the St. Louis Blues make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.65
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.63
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.92
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.05
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.62
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.19
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.87
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.7
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.83
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$27.34
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.8
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.06
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$15.31
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+182%+$57.45
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.17
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$12.4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+255.5%+$68.12
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53%+$8.78
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.5
Will Chris Mathys advance from the CA-22 Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.62
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$45.41
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.29
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.43
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$32.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+145.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-81%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+222.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+369.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$5.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.72
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.