Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x102095aa91f8220f802345549ce02c7636411c67e963d924ade29a4f2c502435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed LOUD | 25c | 9,841$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.25 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 9,071$6,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.81 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed LOUD | 51c | 4,735$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 3,051$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.84 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 2,987$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.88 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 2,337$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.23 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked LOUD | 44c | 2,233$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.13 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 2,066$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.42 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked LOUD | 39c | 1,789$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.26 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 1,381$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.57 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…7056backed LOUD | 42c | 1,014$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 867.66$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.57 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed LOUD | 47c | 802.58$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.8 | 548 | 51.1%280 W · 268 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 747.65$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.69 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed LOUD | 32c | 725$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 641$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.42 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 621.13$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.76 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked LOUD | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 593.36$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.21 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…9db8backed LOUD | 27c | 491.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 468.25$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.48 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked LOUD | 40c | 444.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed LOUD | 29c | 434.15$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.47 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 428.78$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.51 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 405.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f4…dbb0backed LOUD | 26c | 382.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 370$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked LOUD | 39c | 359.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed LOUD | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed LOUD | 9c | 325.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 319.11$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed LOUD | 48c | 312.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 257 | 61.1%157 W · 100 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed LOUD | 35c | 300.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked LOUD | 53c | 294.27$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 284.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked LOUD | 51c | 263.03$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…8136backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 253.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed LOUD | 38c | 234.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed LOUD | 26c | 226.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 223.68$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…4cfbbacked LOUD | 46c | 219.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed LOUD | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 195.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 193.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed LOUD | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked LOUD | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…ed76backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 162.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…c50bbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 159.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed LOUD | 22c | 132.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed LOUD | 53c | 113.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed LOUD | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 96.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 93.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 91.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 444 | 41.9%186 W · 258 L | -22.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…7e98backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 80.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked LOUD | 29c | 79.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed LOUD | 31c | 71.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 70.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked LOUD | 28c | 62.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed LOUD | 24c | 52.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LOUD | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked LOUD | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked 100 Thieves | 78c | 43.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6427…359cbacked LOUD | 26c | 40.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked LOUD | 43c | 37.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked LOUD | 51c | 35.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 34.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 24.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 22.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b56…d9b1backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.