Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1bed5d8f696abd4dc41e1c34cb2f476e253e32e5434668456458c33f7ab3b17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 125,600$70,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,921.55 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed LOUD | 41c | 75,634$30,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,894.15 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked LOUD | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed LOUD | 43c | 24,131$10,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,416.25 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 20,090$14,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,828.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed LOUD | 45c | 18,500$8,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,325 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 16,500$9,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,174.98 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 11,500$6,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked LOUD | 44c | 9,200$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed LOUD | 43c | 6,141$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.62 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 5,810$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LOUD | 44c | 5,272$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.08 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed LOUD | 44c | 5,141$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.69 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LOUD | 31c | 3,599$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.34 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked LOUD | 43c | 3,259$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.55 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 2,506$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.96 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LOUD | 29c | 2,335$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.26 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed LOUD | 44c | 2,184$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed LOUD | 45c | 1,771$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.84 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,701$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked LOUD | 41c | 1,635$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.86 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…a152backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,623$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.94 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,520$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.83 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LOUD | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD | 40c | 1,277$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.02 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed LOUD | 7c | 1,122$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed LOUD | 45c | 1,106$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.49 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked LOUD | 41c | 1,071$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.94 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD | 36c | 1,015$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.18 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LOUD | 36c | 1,002$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.72 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked LOUD | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed LOUD | 46c | 978.72$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.21 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed LOUD | 44c | 943.11$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.97 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…eba9backed LOUD | 43c | 930$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked LOUD | 20c | 928$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed LOUD | 44c | 920$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316b…5d97backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 904.65$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…5d39backed LOUD | 27c | 889.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 888$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…2a83backed LOUD | 45c | 861.56$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.62 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked LOUD | 28c | 856.05$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.16 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…56e0backed LOUD | 44c | 839.43$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…635cbacked LOUD | 47c | 744.79$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked LOUD | 32c | 726.54$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked LOUD | 7c | 713.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…ab32backed LOUD | 44c | 712.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed LOUD | 31c | 693$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…06d7backed LOUD | 43c | 667.68$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 665.16$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.79 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed LOUD | 18c | 654.45$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…da59backed LOUD | 43c | 650.11$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LOUD | 4c | 647.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 634.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.68 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…30b1backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 545$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.95 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked LOUD | 44c | 541$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.04 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed LOUD | 44c | 512.56$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked LOUD | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed LOUD | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 465.01$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed LOUD | 44c | 460$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…612cbacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 455.45$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 419$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed LOUD | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…53b0backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 363.84$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 356.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed LOUD | 5c | 355.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 352.31$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 342.49$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 340.33$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed LOUD | 44c | 339.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed LOUD | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed LOUD | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 330.08$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.89 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 322$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed LOUD | 23c | 315$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…afc2backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 305.79$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.72 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 297.49$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 291.74$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LOUD | 28c | 260$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed LOUD | 31c | 259.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed LOUD | 44c | 258.39$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.