Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee9c02983ad79671431d769805d665d5bfdcb6a78782a017fe4aceb70f300ac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed LOUD | 35c | 11,768$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed LOUD | 28c | 3,542$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.09 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 3,267$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 2,927$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.47 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 2,089$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.32 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 1,721$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.95 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 1,124$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.12 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed LOUD | 41c | 1,019$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked LOUD | 50c | 949.98$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.09 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed LOUD | 36c | 898.28$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.7 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 803.04$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.52 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD | 36c | 625.02$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.17 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 613.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.69 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LOUD | 17c | 562.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed LOUD | 41c | 530.79$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 516$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…dbe3backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 482$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked LOUD | 36c | 480.81$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.83 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked LOUD | 41c | 458.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed LOUD | 26c | 450.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 402$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.91 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed LOUD | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked LOUD | 42c | 367.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.28 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed LOUD | 40c | 346.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 326.89$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 300$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed LOUD | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 238.76$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed LOUD | 14c | 228.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed LOUD | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 210.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 70cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 199.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 193.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked LOUD | 51c | 188.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD | 36c | 180.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…6e5fbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 175.28$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LOUD | 35c | 175$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 163.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 152.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LOUD | 9c | 143.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…ed76backed LOUD | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 79.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed LOUD | 44c | 76.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 75.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed LOUD | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed LOUD | 44c | 53.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed LOUD | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed LOUD | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 37.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LOUD | 37c | 30.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed LOUD | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6646…0c6ebacked LOUD | 36c | 30.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…d5dfbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 19.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.