TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof G2 Esports, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,330 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c28…9e49backed G2 Esports35c28,798$10,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,032.411241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked G2 Esports39c23,711$9,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,266.7228541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed G2 Esports62c19,999$12,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,488.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FUT Esports53c17,709$9,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,321.8512951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed FUT Esports37c16,063$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,062.931471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick38cpaid+140%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports64c12,000$7,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,353.7668458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FUT Esports64c9,742$6,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,480.6665559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports65c8,751$5,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.9253159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed FUT Esports60c8,093$4,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,241.132924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed FUT Esports66c7,606$4,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.826259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports63c7,023$4,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.5253355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports67c6,683$4,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.7756357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports60c6,165$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.6678562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed FUT Esports62c6,073$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.46373%46 W · 17 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked G2 Esports24c5,175$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.985253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed G2 Esports37c5,016$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.0439042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed FUT Esports38c5,000$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,095.1632245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FUT Esports36c4,022$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.2526738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked G2 Esports62c3,653$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.241942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked G2 Esports60c3,361$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed G2 Esports63c3,230$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.1619860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked G2 Esports39c2,947$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.3135142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FUT Esports60c2,694$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.9460154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G2 Esports59c2,500$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.3624250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G2 Esports55c2,382$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.493049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1952…3ba9backed G2 Esports11c2,199$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked G2 Esports62c2,076$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.9733153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed G2 Esports44c2,054$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002245.5%10 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+241.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed FUT Esports58c1,854$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.5316547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed G2 Esports33c1,816$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.7819847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed G2 Esports63c1,801$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.97342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked G2 Esports31c1,742$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.0630835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed FUT Esports37c1,700$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.9833348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Esports41c1,660$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.381,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed G2 Esports33c1,647$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.9149255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed FUT Esports37c1,600$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.9741734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed G2 Esports59c1,590$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.3954751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7536…ba17backed G2 Esports64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed G2 Esports63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked FUT Esports37c1,484$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.653253.1%17 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+57.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports29c1,386$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.321,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports68c1,306$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.2694361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed G2 Esports39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked G2 Esports28c1,281$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.12030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked FUT Esports39c1,241$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.956931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed FUT Esports38c1,224$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.176848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked G2 Esports62c1,213$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.686048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9394…b7b7backed G2 Esports62c1,200$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed G2 Esports62c1,139$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.463756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed FUT Esports40c1,065$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.388145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed G2 Esports64c1,060$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.623565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked G2 Esports63c1,029$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65013455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34088844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4841…1767backed G2 Esports1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed FUT Esports61c962$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.0815973%116 W · 43 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed FUT Esports38c948$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.761957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed G2 Esports31c870.35$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8626932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports59c863.03$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.8268949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed G2 Esports40c818.53$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.4123732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed G2 Esports41c813.78$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6511843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked FUT Esports38c803.42$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.1216639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked FUT Esports50c800$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4044544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked FUT Esports38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4729733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd06…f0c1backed G2 Esports64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4d…20ccbacked G2 Esports40c750$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.272343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed G2 Esports62c750$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4653357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked FUT Esports63c733.93$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ff…e13ebacked G2 Esports33c719.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.131643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed FUT Esports62c693.73$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.942540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed FUT Esports56c673.82$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.482263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed G2 Esports38c661.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked FUT Esports69c654.29$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.737737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FUT Esports64c623.74$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.71,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked G2 Esports63c621.71$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.463154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed FUT Esports63c596.57$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6814850.7%75 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed G2 Esports62c575$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.53633.3%12 W · 24 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked G2 Esports36c575$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6215833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed G2 Esports42c564.85$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.133151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38b5…8d7cbacked FUT Esports39c560$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd72e…c7d2backed FUT Esports40c519.87$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked FUT Esports39c516.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9710951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked G2 Esports61c516.45$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9813759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed FUT Esports56c514$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1616033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed FUT Esports36c499.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9928541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed FUT Esports62c499.63$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1317654.5%96 W · 80 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FUT Esports52c488.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0144342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked G2 Esports62c479.99$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.5933947.8%162 W · 177 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…8d2cbacked G2 Esports43c466.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Esports40c464.13$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.651,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked G2 Esports36c453.4$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2121136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked G2 Esports45c428.57$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19230652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked G2 Esports61c425.22$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.123638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked G2 Esports48c420.51$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6642140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed FUT Esports66c409.11$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2629151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed G2 Esports63c395.08$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.925556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed G2 Esports63c384.25$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0810655.7%59 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2534…0099backed FUT Esports39c374.18$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.25850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked FUT Esports37c359.82$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.497338.4%28 W · 45 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed G2 Esports45c353.9$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb3…33acbacked G2 Esports63c352.46$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.