Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfd0bb865344c1e6ba1855e429354f9241c8a0e13aa5cc203314be8ddcf042f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof G2 Esports, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Esports | 6c | 918.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…0bafbacked G2 Esports | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed G2 Esports | 36c | 545.36$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FUT Esports | 64c | 399.06$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed FUT Esports | 61c | 303.41$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615a…8af2backed G2 Esports | 39c | 290.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…f2febacked G2 Esports | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed FUT Esports | 65c | 77.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed FUT Esports | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 34.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed FUT Esports | 64c | 28.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked G2 Esports | 39c | 26.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c3a0backed FUT Esports | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.