TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,634,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$838,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,634,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes5c189,484$9,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,033.182615.4%4 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Yes5c97,248$5,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,117.4637946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed Yes10c87,615$8,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,761.4920153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Yes19c76,259$14,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,387.6575452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed Yes40c67,016$26,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,806.496940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed No60c52,783$31,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,138.0513548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Yes6c35,891$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes20c34,027$6,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,655.5229127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes9c33,202$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.4681843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Yes41c30,787$12,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,555.6622849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c1…d177backed Yes16c26,981$4,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,330.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes8c25,062$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.048614%12 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9978…a49ebacked Yes16c21,106$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.991225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Yes10c20,596$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.521251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes5c16,110$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.7111547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes10c15,492$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.031,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Yes10c15,222$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.3851252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes12c15,107$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.9614332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Yes17c15,000$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.9228538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked Yes5c14,851$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.5817540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes16c13,622$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.6867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Yes9c13,158$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17418654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Yes7c12,888$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.638348.2%40 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Yes27c12,148$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.295347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes5c12,000$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6041315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Yes5c11,637$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c11,108$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.419423.7%46 W · 148 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff5…6afbbacked Yes16c10,628$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.373125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes5c10,192$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.232010%2 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes9c9,981$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.5775350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes6c9,312$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed Yes20c8,902$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…ca63backed Yes15c8,691$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.151838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c8,447$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.462,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Yes10c8,446$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.819058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4933…46adbacked Yes13c7,442$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Yes26c7,436$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90043933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Yes14c7,257$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf563…1338backed Yes40c7,047$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.42454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed Yes9c6,641$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Yes18c6,613$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.021926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid+147%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Yes14c6,500$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.584658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Yes5c6,481$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.9816853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes25c6,277$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.3614142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x790b…a53ebacked Yes9c6,247$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick24cpaid+175.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b33…9b98backed Yes5c6,122$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc97d…89d7backed Yes5c6,000$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.962147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes5c5,894$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.241010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-79.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Yes17c5,851$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.1337140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f4…e758backed Yes38c5,718$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Yes16c5,709$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.4988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes8c5,668$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.13137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc304…c6bbbacked Yes9c5,666$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.110449%51 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ff…bdaabacked Yes5c5,615$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Yes40c5,589$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.531855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa93…4af4backed Yes4c5,564$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe20…c8fabacked Yes9c5,444$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd953…a9c0backed Yes37c5,374$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.012867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No62c5,217$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x462f…cbd6backed Yes9c5,212$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae63…6e0cbacked Yes14c4,959$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes31c4,730$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.459542.1%40 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes40c4,625$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.519443.3%84 W · 110 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes18c4,607$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.741233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes6c4,591$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.111145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick22cpaid+212.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacb9…2246backed Yes12c4,462$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.941931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed Yes16c4,403$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…c9cabacked Yes16c4,395$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.021546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes8c4,341$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.061,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes4c4,252$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0514820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…f0bebacked Yes13c4,206$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Yes5c4,040$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes17c3,947$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.7230748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes5c3,903$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3715743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Yes39c3,874$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.4628046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes4c3,784$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.196726.9%18 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Yes35c3,750$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.3150846.9%238 W · 270 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Yes9c3,634$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33075145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d38…b49cbacked Yes17c3,571$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600156.7%1 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.30per pick36cpaid-82.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Yes15c3,498$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.482146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7948…2894backed Yes9c3,490$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.092321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-62%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes6c3,252$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2981244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4556…460bbacked Yes40c3,207$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1821…968bbacked Yes41c3,172$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes10c3,154$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.972941.4%12 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick25cpaid+84.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes10c3,090$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.756941.3%235 W · 334 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes5c3,074$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.19375.4%2 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-41.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf53…c98fbacked Yes22c3,010$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0e…4933backed Yes40c2,879$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.241241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No75c2,876$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.131060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Yes40c2,854$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.019642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x651d…7344backed Yes8c2,849$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed Yes13c2,600$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.618148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…fa6dbacked Yes9c2,578$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2356338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b3…a386backed Yes16c2,577$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.532020%4 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Yes5c2,553$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…201bbacked Yes40c2,523$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b25…d739backed Yes7c2,504$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+109.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c4…9983backed Yes5c2,439$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1233345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes13c2,435$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.8161737.9%234 W · 383 L-22.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.