TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$309,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,073 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes1c100,117$654 inLost-$653.872615.4%4 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Yes1c32,542$195 inLost-$195.2537946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes1c26,711$177 inLost-$176.975414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x165e…f5aabacked Yes0c18,520$91 inLost-$91.322352.2%12 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes1c15,176$99 inLost-$98.79240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes1c13,681$72 inLost-$72.376726.9%18 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes1c8,866$52 inLost-$52.0114332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes1c7,863$57 inLost-$56.96225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes1c5,500$27 inLost-$27.514820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb30…97e8backed Yes1c4,963$26 inLost-$26.282512%3 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10fa…f946backed Yes1c4,659$34 inLost-$33.692425%6 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes0c4,600$21 inLost-$20.819423.7%46 W · 148 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Yes1c4,285$30 inLost-$29.9923842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1728…08f4backed Yes1c3,763$28 inLost-$28323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Yes1c3,333$23 inLost-$23.336829.4%20 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7252…81f9backed Yes1c3,000$21 inLost-$2160%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde94…6742backed Yes1c2,857$20 inLost-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e46…0715backed Yes1c2,818$21 inLost-$20.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes1c2,000$14 inLost-$1431933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x621e…2317backed Yes1c1,714$15 inLost-$152133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes1c1,688$12 inLost-$11.62200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Yes1c1,119$10 inLost-$10.0360838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f58…254cbacked Yes1c745.69$10 inLost-$10.4417048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.